AI · resolved market

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0116d578bcea8a432dfa6f4c9e82cf243db339cce81806b58a8053b0bee96dfd

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $85,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,113 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	5c	15,700$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754.02	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+157.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes	8c	7,000$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.75	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes	13c	6,056$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.26	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	6c	5,777$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.81	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes	6c	5,320$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.38	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Yes	7c	4,250$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.99	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	12c	2,410$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.2	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes	5c	2,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.77	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	6c	1,602$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.85	76	11.8%9 W · 67 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	9c	1,474$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.71	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf732…d078backed Yes	17c	1,235$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.48	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	4c	1,165$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	183	11.5%21 W · 162 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd632…8afbbacked Yes	10c	1,111$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.1	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+94.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed Yes	12c	857.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	14c	832$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.16	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes	11c	791.07$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.99	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed Yes	7c	755$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+160.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80f8…7448backed Yes	10c	691$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.1	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes	12c	479$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.48	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	12c	432$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.06	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	13c	363$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	128	39.8%51 W · 77 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5260…fd71backed Yes	9c	330$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5770…bafcbacked Yes	12c	301$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2148…639ebacked Yes	6c	300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	28cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	7c	240$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…422abacked Yes	12c	205$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed Yes	14c	192.09$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.85	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes	8c	137.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	11c	100.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	70	24.3%17 W · 53 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b21…b8abbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	23cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event