TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Kanye West / Ye rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,877 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes17c7,295$1,205 inLost-$1,204.74843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes15c6,463$980 inLost-$980.125843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c5,529$31 inLost-$30.631,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost-$4502450%12 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes7c1,665$111 inLost-$111.0919011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes15c300$44 inLost-$441020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes16c285$46 inLost-$45.67132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No77c259.74$200 inWon+$59.742646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4122…5c11backed No77c100$77 inWon+$231127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa70b…b434backed Yes20c92$19 inLost-$18.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed No77c20$15 inWon+$4.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.