TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swiss Indoors Basel: Kamil Majchrzak vs Ben Shelton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Majchrzak, Shelton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$429,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$592,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Shelton68c148,960$101,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,740.67857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Majchrzak29c79,593$23,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,158.710845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Majchrzak40c33,687$13,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,325.428,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Majchrzak38c26,240$9,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,971.112142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Majchrzak34c18,812$6,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,490.061,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shelton55c18,150$9,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,169.8424544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Majchrzak36c15,639$5,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,607.4765242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Majchrzak39c6,799$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,682.0915832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton56c6,000$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Majchrzak51c5,022$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…d32abacked Shelton64c3,906$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.251172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f6…ce43backed Shelton67c3,268$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.43580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Shelton58c2,859$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.9111943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Majchrzak39c2,500$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.27653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Majchrzak47c2,495$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.042,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton56c1,915$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.726,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Shelton60c1,765$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.831,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Majchrzak35c1,199$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.212,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Shelton65c1,014$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.399452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Majchrzak42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Shelton63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Shelton49c910$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.6423852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shelton61c850$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8428952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Shelton52c842.88$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8813435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Shelton61c708.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4317442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Shelton63c630.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.886949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14c…dab3backed Shelton66c542.42$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Majchrzak38c526.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.932448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Majchrzak35c498.67$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.953531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Shelton53c489$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Shelton63c475.04$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7618933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Majchrzak40c473.94$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.311,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Majchrzak35c438.18$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.661,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Shelton51c427.89$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8218338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Shelton65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.696737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Shelton63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11122737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Shelton66c300$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.035862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18ea…f93bbacked Shelton59c298.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.14560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Majchrzak39c255.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Majchrzak41c244.73$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Shelton55c221.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.492454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Shelton58c204.75$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5443948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Shelton65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Majchrzak35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Shelton61c198.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3614546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Majchrzak35c198.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3673048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Shelton59c169.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6643158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Shelton61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Majchrzak51c158.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8120257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f2…da0ebacked Shelton66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521580%12 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Shelton65c146.15$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.153046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Majchrzak50c141.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.844852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c0…bd71backed Majchrzak41c137.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca8…3e59backed Shelton37c135.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Shelton40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.768050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Shelton64c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.627058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Shelton49c118.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6638348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Majchrzak44c106.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3812050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Shelton47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3812253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Shelton46c104$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1612256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Shelton65c101.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Majchrzak51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.732,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Majchrzak52c99.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.052850%14 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Majchrzak43c98.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Shelton64c94.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.069462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Shelton62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Majchrzak38c89.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4910651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Shelton59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7510250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Shelton64c81.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.446145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…2d91backed Majchrzak50c80.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Shelton61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf24…0039backed Shelton65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Shelton65c76.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9123670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Shelton50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.817535.4%62 W · 113 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Shelton29c69.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3114940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Majchrzak34c52.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bef…3cc4backed Majchrzak39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Majchrzak41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.549955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…52f7backed Shelton55c47.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.443669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Majchrzak42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Shelton65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Shelton65c35.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3636047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Majchrzak48c31.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1928443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.