NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f4bdfe0791af20ba30c02c2d8dcb426f5c4c7fb8144184b0fe20491de10b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $549,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 100,000$33,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,448.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 70c | 41,813$29,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,310.39 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Lightning | 54c | 32,004$17,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,329.14 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks | 30c | 20,987$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,724.65 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,599.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Lightning | 73c | 16,689$12,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,116.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Lightning | 73c | 16,000$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,679.86 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lightning | 72c | 14,450$10,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…4a6ebacked Blackhawks | 27c | 12,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 56c | 11,461$6,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Blackhawks | 26c | 11,050$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,177.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blackhawks | 42c | 9,716$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,667.84 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Lightning | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,839.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blackhawks | 27c | 7,161$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.85 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lightning | 73c | 6,663$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.36 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…da8dbacked Lightning | 73c | 6,500$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Lightning | 73c | 6,454$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…688fbacked Lightning | 73c | 6,000$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lightning | 28c | 5,740$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.08 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blackhawks | 46c | 5,500$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Lightning | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Lightning | 73c | 4,672$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lightning | 73c | 4,292$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.99 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 4,133$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Blackhawks | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 72c | 3,198$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Lightning | 73c | 3,021$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blackhawks | 26c | 2,875$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.14 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lightning | 71c | 2,841$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.98 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Blackhawks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.99 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x09e1…82a6backed Blackhawks | 56c | 2,180$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Blackhawks | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Lightning | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.94 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 74c | 1,847$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.86 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 1,834$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,818$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 1,794$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.69 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lightning | 73c | 1,700$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9d39backed Blackhawks | 28c | 1,516$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…e864backed Lightning | 74c | 1,516$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 73c | 1,500$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 73c | 1,500$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.98 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Lightning | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Blackhawks | 34c | 1,390$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.14 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 73c | 1,339$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.45 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lightning | 73c | 1,255$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.26 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed Lightning | 74c | 1,252$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…4c3bbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 1,252$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Lightning | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,082$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 1,081$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.22 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Blackhawks | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Lightning | 73c | 1,071$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.97 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Blackhawks | 32c | 1,052$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,035$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.55 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Blackhawks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Lightning | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Lightning | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3b…d17cbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Lightning | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 72c | 993.36$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.22 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Blackhawks | 27c | 989.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…f4fbbacked Lightning | 73c | 900$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 73c | 892.84$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.77 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Lightning | 73c | 808.25$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.8 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…7d07backed Lightning | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 62c | 788.23$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.11 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 64c | 754.15$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.58 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…0092backed Blackhawks | 27c | 741.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 46c | 740.48$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.18 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 44c | 736.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.88 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…4276backed Lightning | 67c | 735.81$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 73c | 725.95$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.53 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Lightning | 74c | 725.53$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cf04backed Blackhawks | 28c | 723.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Lightning | 74c | 723$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Blackhawks | 28c | 712.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.7 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lightning | 73c | 690$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 74c | 689.19$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…b6b6backed Blackhawks | 28c | 665.89$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…84a6backed Blackhawks | 27c | 655.56$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 67c | 623.22$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…0f55backed Blackhawks | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Lightning | 14c | 571$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…d623backed Blackhawks | 27c | 560$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…7963backed Lightning | 73c | 560$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Lightning | 73c | 557$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.11 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blackhawks | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Lightning | 57c | 517.19$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Lightning | 73c | 510$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lightning | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Blackhawks | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Lightningthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Blackhawks won
- Spread: Lightning (-2.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.