TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Griekspoor, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ffb…a834backed Zverev73c13,985$10,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.94959.2%29 W · 20 L+9.1wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+2,130.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Griekspoor32c7,510$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.712119%4 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Zverev68c5,434$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.826549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Griekspoor19c4,839$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.7311943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Griekspoor30c3,485$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.312,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Griekspoor34c3,239$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.725064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Griekspoor33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9717823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Zverev67c2,898$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.3812050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Griekspoor29c2,428$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.728,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Zverev64c2,011$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.729944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Griekspoor20c1,987$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4223852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Griekspoor37c1,884$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.8728443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8b…5f7cbacked Zverev65c1,624$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed Griekspoor35c1,622$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Zverev66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.154673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Zverev68c1,300$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.313253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Griekspoor36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd34…140dbacked Griekspoor36c1,101$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.911233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Griekspoor33c1,061$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.1162742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Griekspoor35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a11…abe7backed Griekspoor36c557.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Griekspoor29c555.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3195140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Zverev64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028241.8%118 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Griekspoor27c480$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.161,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Griekspoor22c451.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Zverev68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Zverev67c420.43$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.746752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Zverev68c347.82$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.323969.9%167 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Zverev66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Zverev63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118537.6%32 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Griekspoor34c294.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Griekspoor33c288.79$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.322344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Zverev68c280.38$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.728562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4cc…a1e6backed Griekspoor36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9f…e956backed Zverev66c277$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Zverev65c247$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.451070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b4…5c2bbacked Zverev74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Griekspoor19c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.743948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2666…0d98backed Zverev66c174.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Griekspoor21c165$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.958050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Zverev67c162.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Zverev66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Zverev67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.58256.1%46 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Zverev67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Zverev67c148.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.653354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Zverev68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0617767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Zverev68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0673147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Griekspoor31c145.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Zverev73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Zverev67c128.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Zverev68c121.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1910063%63 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Griekspoor35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Zverev67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.44163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Zverev67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.413762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Griekspoor35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Griekspoor35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Griekspoor34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3428747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Zverev67c97.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.015050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Griekspoor33c95.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5473048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Griekspoor33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13718.9%7 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Zverev68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2425355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zverev69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Griekspoor37c81.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Zverev65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e72…b2febacked Zverev68c78.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.335360.4%32 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Zverev67c70.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.437664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6141544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Zverev66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.616756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x398e…f259backed Griekspoor34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zverev68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1649749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Griekspoor33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.549632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6d…e4f4backed Zverev65c33.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f3…8da0backed Griekspoor35c33.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Griekspoor34c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Zverev66c30.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5172957.3%418 W · 311 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfb…cc92backed Zverev67c30.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Zverev66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32450%12 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebe…9b6dbacked Zverev66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Zverev67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Zverev67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.858557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Zverev67c28.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2612974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…991bbacked Zverev67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Zverev65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713151.1%67 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6769…8355backed Zverev67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…12e2backed Zverev68c17.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.