TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zverevof Fearnley, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Zverev62c16,687$10,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,365.0124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fearnley33c12,232$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.428,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Fearnley40c6,684$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.8465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5836…27bdbacked Fearnley21c5,010$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.6147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-85.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Zverev62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Fearnley35c4,414$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.0615832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zverev67c4,014$2,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.661,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Fearnley33c3,805$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.068023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fearnley35c3,362$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Fearnley29c2,452$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.637653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Zverev63c2,322$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9711943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ee…78fbbacked Fearnley1c1,584$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Fearnley38c1,523$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.810845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Zverev70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Fearnley26c1,445$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6544125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Fearnley22c1,064$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.082,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Zverev60c994$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8223852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Zverev76c888.55$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Zverev60c766.88$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+103.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Zverev74c693$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.182759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fearnley24c564.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.476046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Zverev74c540$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.45862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Fearnley17c492.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.751,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Fearnley24c489.07$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.267149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Fearnley24c457.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9975547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Zverev61c440.63$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.851,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Fearnley33c424.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Zverev80c389.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fearnley25c334.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1673048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Zverev68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1238348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Zverev71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.699452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…a062backed Zverev66c272.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.731040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Fearnley42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10518943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Fearnley13c233.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Zverev56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x465f…1435backed Fearnley42c177.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Zverev72c176.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Zverev65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+247.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Zverev71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4343948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked Zverev64c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Fearnley33c149.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Zverev68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.067957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Zverev80c142.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zverev70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d37…59b5backed Zverev71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.859462.8%59 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed Zverev74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Zverev64c127.14$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Zverev80c125.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fearnley21c125.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2762742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdf…edf9backed Zverev79c125.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.273458.8%20 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Zverev77c116.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.693461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Zverev73c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212256.6%69 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Fearnley13c100.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Fearnley12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66734.3%23 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Zverev74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2631255.4%173 W · 139 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fearnley24c93.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.422,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a8…c43bbacked Zverev73c81.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Zverev69c79.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.715275%39 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Zverev72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218050%40 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Zverev74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.227058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Zverev77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Zverev62c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.770465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Zverev76c59.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Fearnley36c55.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9622…a58dbacked Zverev59c52.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Fearnley39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2adc…8f9abacked Zverev79c50.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.886464.1%41 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Fearnley26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.917535.4%62 W · 113 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7513…110dbacked Zverev58c41.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.381020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa5…af17backed Zverev76c38.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Zverev75c37.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efe0backed Zverev71c35.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.444163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1419…94efbacked Zverev76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Zverev62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2612560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d99…fe22backed Zverev63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Zverev63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.758557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed Zverev76c29.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f88…2088backed Zverev71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Zverev72c27.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.813961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Zverev76c26.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.464973.5%36 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Zverev55c26.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.891250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5b…0cfcbacked Zverev68c22.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…c525backed Zverev61c16.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.