NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f82a095f6764c2083f9c00d86b9c363820dc4bb969ddee5a22c4bc94a9518d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Heat, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,210,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,264,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,210,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 679 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Heat | 32c | 254,952$81,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,584.63 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Spurs | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Spurs | 68c | 87,425$59,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,337.78 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Heat | 38c | 79,195$30,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,250.55 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Heat | 33c | 41,469$13,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,684.88 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Spurs | 68c | 40,478$27,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,957.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Spurs | 68c | 37,490$25,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,996.68 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Spurs | 80c | 28,993$23,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.71 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Heat | 38c | 27,740$10,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.81 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs | 68c | 27,625$18,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,840 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 33c | 22,640$7,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,471.13 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 24c | 22,351$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.72 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Heat | 22c | 19,521$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.06 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Spurs | 68c | 16,622$11,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.73 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 38c | 16,431$6,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.65 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spurs | 69c | 15,433$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.21 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Heat | 10c | 14,020$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.61 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Heat | 32c | 13,266$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,244.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 32c | 12,910$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.96 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Spurs | 68c | 11,029$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.41 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Heat | 34c | 10,980$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 71c | 10,436$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.93 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 34c | 10,294$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.04 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Spurs | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Spurs | 67c | 9,783$6,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.25 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Spurs | 66c | 9,592$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.21 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1b70backed Spurs | 75c | 9,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Heat | 35c | 8,973$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.89 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 23c | 8,355$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Spurs | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Spurs | 72c | 6,779$4,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.26 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Heat | 19c | 6,659$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Spurs | 79c | 6,523$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.16 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a9…69e7backed Heat | 33c | 6,300$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Heat | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Heat | 31c | 4,999$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.67 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Spurs | 68c | 4,741$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Spurs | 56c | 4,701$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.54 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…8e9bbacked Spurs | 68c | 4,700$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Spurs | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…2e2bbacked Heat | 35c | 4,405$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 32c | 4,378$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Heat | 32c | 4,146$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.77 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Heat | 37c | 4,000$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.54 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…33e7backed Spurs | 68c | 3,800$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 68c | 3,549$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 53c | 3,531$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.41 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 32c | 3,443$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.86 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 32c | 3,260$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Spurs | 77c | 3,190$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.77 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Heat | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 33c | 3,100$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 32c | 2,976$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.45 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Heat | 33c | 2,974$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.54 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs | 67c | 2,960$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.69 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Spurs | 67c | 2,959$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.52 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs | 67c | 2,956$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.61 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Spurs | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Heat | 12c | 2,793$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Spurs | 70c | 2,789$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.68 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Spurs | 68c | 2,693$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.11 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Heat | 44c | 2,588$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Spurs | 73c | 2,581$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs | 68c | 2,574$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.53 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Spurs | 55c | 2,511$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…56b0backed Spurs | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…5823backed Heat | 33c | 2,424$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 25c | 2,418$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.53 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 40c | 2,414$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.68 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Heat | 47c | 2,335$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Spurs | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Spurs | 62c | 2,076$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.02 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 6c | 2,065$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Heat | 31c | 2,059$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.44 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 25c | 2,011$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Spurs | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Heat | 31c | 1,999$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.81 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Heat | 33c | 1,907$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.44 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 15c | 1,901$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…7f41backed Spurs | 67c | 1,850$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 33c | 1,837$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.27 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Heat | 31c | 1,795$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.38 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Heat | 33c | 1,793$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Heat | 22c | 1,782$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Spurs | 60c | 1,708$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.02 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 71c | 1,533$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Spurs | 68c | 1,513$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.15 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Spurs | 69c | 1,473$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Spurs | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Heat | 33c | 1,358$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 1,255$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…e2c1backed Spurs | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 32c | 1,246$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…8c93backed Heat | 33c | 1,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Heat | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Spursthis page
- Heat vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Heat vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.