NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c1cbbd01f21529c8f7712ab996cbc3ae1833014d5ad965f4eaa656df95ba05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 49c | 26,208$12,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,807.29 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Spurs | 49c | 20,537$10,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.01 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Heat | 51c | 20,470$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,349.87 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Spurs | 49c | 20,400$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,404 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Heat | 1c | 18,077$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 52c | 15,487$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,357.25 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Spurs | 51c | 10,327$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.25 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 7,240$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…25dfbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,798$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…163fbacked Heat | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Spurs | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…491bbacked Heat | 51c | 3,358$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Heat | 50c | 2,645$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 50c | 2,345$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Heat | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Spurs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Spurs | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…0769backed Heat | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,408$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.13 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…e2f4backed Heat | 52c | 900.01$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 41c | 874.28$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.83 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5105…446dbacked Spurs | 49c | 802$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…3d39backed Spurs | 49c | 632$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…3823backed Spurs | 49c | 632$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Heat | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heat | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…8a51backed Spurs | 49c | 492$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…692abacked Spurs | 49c | 455$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Spurs | 46c | 387.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.4 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…dbd0backed Spurs | 49c | 387$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…fa42backed Spurs | 49c | 386$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…7807backed Spurs | 49c | 374$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…6b24backed Heat | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 49c | 306$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Spurs | 52c | 282.31$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…ed81backed Heat | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs | 51c | 262.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heat | 48c | 246.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Spurs | 51c | 236.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Spurs | 51c | 227.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Heat | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Spurs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heat | 51c | 156$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Spurs | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…da66backed Spurs | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Spurs | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Heat | 48c | 103.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Spurs | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Spurs | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heat | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Heat | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Heat | 48c | 73.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…4b2ebacked Heat | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Heat | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Heat | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Spurs | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…3dedbacked Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bf…5761backed Spurs | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…7b85backed Spurs | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Heat | 52c | 36.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Heat | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Spurs | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Spurs | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d6…9bb1backed Spurs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Heat | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…8e79backed Spurs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked Spurs | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…3f2cbacked Spurs | 52c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Heat | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ec4bbacked Heat | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…484abacked Heat | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- Heat vs. SpursSpurs won
- Heat vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Heat vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Heat vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.