Lol · resolved market
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10afc181db9e99192e3840185278432f7ab0f675098783af9091cac73dbafad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof LGD Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,409,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,620,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,409,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,035 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af1…d739backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 34,806$17,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,909.84 | 514 | 46.5%239 W · 275 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 30,756$14,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,335.47 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 28,616$12,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,019 | 814 | 43.5%354 W · 460 L | +30.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 26,391$14,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,381.95 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 22,268$9,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,520.2 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 21,703$9,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,266.56 | 187 | 29.9%56 W · 131 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 21,000$9,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,169.99 | 907 | 43.7%396 W · 511 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 20,000$10,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,754.69 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 19,938$11,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,584.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 19,552$10,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,314.77 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 19,020$10,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,505.59 | 261 | 46.7%122 W · 139 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…a1ddbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 18,975$9,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,635.02 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0a2dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 18,531$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.59 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 18,082$7,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,268.46 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 16,160$9,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,948.79 | 487 | 50.1%244 W · 243 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 15,779$7,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.53 | 1,304 | 45.2%589 W · 715 L | +50.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 15,664$8,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,138.78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 15,364$9,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.95 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 15,348$6,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.27 | 1,074 | 23.6%253 W · 821 L | -77.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 15,275$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160.11 | 2,021 | 58.1%1,174 W · 847 L | +86.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 15,200$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,056 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 212 | 48.6%103 W · 109 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 14,344$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,311.27 | 1,207 | 54%652 W · 555 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebd…b66abacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 13,735$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 12,915$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.99 | 257 | 44.7%115 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed LGD Gaming | 1c | 12,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 10,575$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,524.73 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 10,400$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 10,258$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.37 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 9,842$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.71 | 1,638 | 40.2%659 W · 979 L | +49.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 9,494$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,543.65 | 476 | 51.3%244 W · 232 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked LGD Gaming | 59c | 9,351$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.47 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…bd58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 9,049$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.54 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 9,046$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,613.31 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 8,771$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.44 | 1,102 | 52.3%576 W · 526 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 8,360$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,353.56 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 7,708$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.63 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 7,187$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.16 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 7,000$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.18 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 6,834$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.43 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 6,751$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.96 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 6,630$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.85 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 5,984$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.59 | 680 | 53.4%363 W · 317 L | +25.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 5,968$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.52 | 1,271 | 37.6%478 W · 793 L | +33.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 5,846$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.52 | 600 | 54.3%326 W · 274 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 5,810$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.11 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 5,733$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.39 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 5,709$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.19 | 588 | 57.8%340 W · 248 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.15 | 512 | 44.3%227 W · 285 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 5,420$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 5,274$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.8 | 863 | 36.3%313 W · 550 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 5,263$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.72 | 521 | 48.2%251 W · 270 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 5,235$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.43 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 5,108$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.41 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 5,083$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.41 | 150 | 42.7%64 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 5,074$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 5,048$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.47 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…7ffebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 266 | 44.7%119 W · 147 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 5,000$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.01 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 4,902$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.98 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 4,891$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.23 | 1,217 | 43.5%529 W · 688 L | -15.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed LGD Gaming | 52c | 4,850$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 4,828$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.74 | 2,574 | 39.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L | -81.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 4,739$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.07 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…beffbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 4,680$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.08 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 4,665$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.42 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 4,570$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.92 | 911 | 51%465 W · 446 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 4,494$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.61 | 607 | 59.6%362 W · 245 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 4,385$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.61 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 4,314$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.42 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 4,301$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.17 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…1409backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 4,192$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.4 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 4,171$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.69 | 1,006 | 56.7%570 W · 436 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 4,143$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.04 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 4,130$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.76 | 720 | 41.4%298 W · 422 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 4,050$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.23 | 1,175 | 39.1%460 W · 715 L | -44.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 4,050$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.25 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 490 | 34.1%167 W · 323 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 4,000$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.22 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 500 | 40.8%204 W · 296 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked LGD Gaming | 9c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LGD Gaming | 52c | 3,900$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 3,870$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.4 | 1,501 | 48.4%727 W · 774 L | +47.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 3,595$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.53 | 1,601 | 53.7%859 W · 742 L | +55.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 3,515$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 327 | 34.9%114 W · 213 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 3,487$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.64 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 3,393$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.16 | 1,023 | 54.5%558 W · 465 L | +49.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 3,391$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.19 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 310 | 43.5%135 W · 175 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 1,473 | 61.4%904 W · 569 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 3,314$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.47 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 3,158$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.33 | 637 | 51.8%330 W · 307 L | +38.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 3,053$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.33 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.