TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,469 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked LGD Gaming76c1,560$1,182 inWon+$377.5563944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c1,111$278 inLost-$277.7540726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming25c632.07$157 inLost-$157.022,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming24c523.99$126 inLost-$125.7622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed LGD Gaming75c500$375 inWon+$12566059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c465$116 inLost-$115.951,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c400$100 inLost-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ed…8da0backed LGD Gaming75c391.43$295 inWon+$95.975360.4%32 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming26c385$100 inLost-$99.7346050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed LGD Gaming74c293.48$217 inWon+$76.5452750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c220$55 inLost-$5526440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming25c200$50 inLost-$5035045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed LGD Gaming76c131.58$100 inWon+$31.587826.9%21 W · 57 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed ThunderTalk Gaming24c108$26 inLost-$25.926855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming26c100$26 inLost-$2636246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed LGD Gaming76c88.09$67 inWon+$21.3621751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked ThunderTalk Gaming25c80$20 inLost-$206446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4873…e5d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c70$18 inLost-$17.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ea7…192ebacked LGD Gaming76c70$53 inWon+$16.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x15fa…f856backed LGD Gaming75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.676060%36 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming26c50$13 inLost-$131,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed LGD Gaming76c30$23 inWon+$7.24050%20 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed LGD Gaming76c30$23 inWon+$7.23151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked LGD Gaming75c26.67$20 inWon+$6.6723264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked LGD Gaming77c23.1$18 inWon+$5.313650%18 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed LGD Gaming76c17.22$13 inWon+$4.1313046.2%60 W · 70 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed LGD Gaming76c15.8$12 inWon+$3.792846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked LGD Gaming76c14.3$11 inWon+$3.434042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.