Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1842be59de971debf2ab39916b3c4641b452721a8d419cdba16d28c0e8ef7d

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,091 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	52c	5,620$2,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,710.15	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	49c	4,536$2,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,222.75	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	918	54%496 W · 422 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	50c	2,498$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,249	253	42.7%108 W · 145 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over	77c	1,513$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.3	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over	74c	1,423$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.24	527	50.5%266 W · 261 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	50c	1,089$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.5	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under	49c	1,073$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.27	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Under	22c	855.67$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.58	196	37.8%74 W · 122 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under	50c	658.4$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.2	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	615.24$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.58	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	137	35%48 W · 89 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	51c	514$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.86	1,092	52.4%572 W · 520 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over	51c	490.58$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.58	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1407…e56cbacked Under	38c	460.9$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.37	109	36.7%40 W · 69 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	50c	453.07$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.54	192	59.9%115 W · 77 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over	52c	410$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.8	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Under	37c	380$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.8	257	40.1%103 W · 154 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Under	36c	371.45$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.15	198	46%91 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	51c	346.79$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.86	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	70c	331.64$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.71	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under	37c	330$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.9	580	42.4%246 W · 334 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under	35c	321.12$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.9	283	29.7%84 W · 199 L	-32.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	49c	316.08$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.88	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over	51c	303.92$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.92	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-14.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over	50c	278.45$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.23	158	61.4%97 W · 61 L	+11.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over	49c	247.12$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	50c	220$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	50c	202$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Under	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	51c	191.1$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.21	399	51.1%204 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Under	41c	190$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	186	38.7%72 W · 114 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e2…5405backed Under	41c	190$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	63c	184.88$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under	50c	159$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	29c	125$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…2b03backed Over	51c	120$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	48c	112.97$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.67	1,156	45.1%521 W · 635 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under	20c	102.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	305	43%131 W · 174 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	468	46.8%219 W · 249 L	-23.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	41c	90.75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Under	24c	87.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	634	26%165 W · 469 L	-90.0wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-54%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Over	52c	85.49$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…1edbbacked Under	21c	75.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.23	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53d7…ca8bbacked Over	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under	49c	55.68$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	488	44.3%216 W · 272 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e2…f597backed Over	51c	55.1$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over	52c	52.13$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.13	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Over	51c	51.25$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.11	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over	50c	50.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	286	47.9%137 W · 149 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce0…830ebacked Over	63c	47.79$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.79	145	63.4%92 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over	50c	41.49$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.89	217	51.2%111 W · 106 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	612	56.2%344 W · 268 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	121	57.9%70 W · 51 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	50c	39.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under	33c	35.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under	45c	34.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e3…a9debacked Under	47c	25.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…dbe1backed Over	51c	25.49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.49	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cf1…9b40backed Under	50c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under	51c	22.47$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344c…b454backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe602…9446backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event