Lol · resolved market
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18af060781767c327b141ef27413eb84eb46004d057b4c71b0a1bca3a296fc32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c7…f0a7backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 30,000$19,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,100.23 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 124 | 2.4%3 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -95.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 17,052$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.19 | 325 | 34.8%113 W · 212 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 14,228$11,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.65 | 1,203 | 54%650 W · 553 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 13,580$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,110.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 13,368$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.16 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 10,909$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.09 | 584 | 57.7%337 W · 247 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 10,601$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 9,431$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 9,269$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.6 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 8,497$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 517 | 48.2%249 W · 268 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 7,902$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.96 | 678 | 53.4%362 W · 316 L | +25.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 7,708$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.54 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.99 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 6,988$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.02 | 259 | 53.7%139 W · 120 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed LGD Gaming | 80c | 6,719$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.12 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 6,329$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.37 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 6,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 304 | 21.7%66 W · 238 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 5,835$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 5,409$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.74 | 215 | 56.7%122 W · 93 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 4,890$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.45 | 704 | 62.1%437 W · 267 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 4,603$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.11 | 897 | 46.9%421 W · 476 L | +43.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 4,018$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.93 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 3,800$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.93 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 3,800$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 975 | 27.8%271 W · 704 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…12e2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 3,777$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +23.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 3,700$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 3,630$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.4 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…f3adbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed LGD Gaming | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 3,168$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.6 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 3,135$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 3,030$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.5 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 3,002$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.89 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,873$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…87b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 2,831$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.61 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…fbf4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 2,716$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 101 | 10.9%11 W · 90 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,510$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.96 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 2,479$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.67 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 2,465$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 861 | 36.2%312 W · 549 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 2,335$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.82 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64e…a1ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 2,236$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.46 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…4be6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,166$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.03 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,146$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.3 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,005$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,000$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 1,223 | 48.6%594 W · 629 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 904 | 43.6%394 W · 510 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.91 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,998$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 228 | 1.8%4 W · 224 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 1,972$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 257 | 44.7%115 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 594 | 59.1%351 W · 243 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 1,900$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 1,880$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.91 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,808$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.15 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 1,800$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,800$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,787$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.02 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 1,786$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.08 | 1,219 | 54.5%664 W · 555 L | +52.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 1,782$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd391…b109backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 1,718$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…6c5cbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.65 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,585$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LGD Gaming | 50c | 1,560$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.95 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 1,460$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,450$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.91 | 236 | 55.9%132 W · 104 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 1,395$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,280$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…33f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,268$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,240$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.32 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,239$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 178 | 26.4%47 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,164$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.38 | 308 | 54.5%168 W · 140 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,146$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.69 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed LGD Gaming | 77c | 1,138$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 317 | 61.5%195 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,114$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 711 | 57%405 W · 306 L | +40.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,093$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 251 | 48.2%121 W · 130 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 1,080$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 689 | 15.2%105 W · 584 L | -31.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,054$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.14 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…772cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 1,034$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…0a2dbacked LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…7226backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,006$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 843 | 60.7%512 W · 331 L | +44.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,221 | 35.9%438 W · 783 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…2c34backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 999.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 963.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 950$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 935.33$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 1,596 | 53.7%857 W · 739 L | +56.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 927.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.