Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x239263810506b31c8654fd11ded134249ea838adeb5de00b698be21d8ce40632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 67c | 24,919$16,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 66c | 23,822$15,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.48 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 23,622$16,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Yes | 33c | 18,176$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 16,255$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.37 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 22c | 11,551$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 33c | 10,606$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 10,473$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.75 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 67c | 9,648$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.85 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 68c | 7,593$5,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 5,766$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.42 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 5,611$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.68 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 65c | 5,257$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.31 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 33c | 4,536$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 35c | 4,287$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 4,134$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.73 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 35c | 3,678$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…6abebacked Yes | 15c | 3,437$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 32c | 3,171$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 34c | 3,150$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…26b6backed Yes | 35c | 2,964$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 33c | 2,773$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 32c | 2,505$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 33c | 2,423$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 2,403$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,921$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.86 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes | 32c | 1,774$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Yes | 33c | 1,533$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…be98backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 66c | 1,500$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 34c | 1,349$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 35c | 1,281$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 35c | 1,220$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 66c | 1,116$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 66c | 1,032$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…be70backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 34c | 917$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.78 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 9c | 900$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…6be1backed Yes | 36c | 840.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…c3abbacked Yes | 18c | 792.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 757.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Yes | 33c | 757.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 67c | 750$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Yes | 30c | 739.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 67c | 693.18$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 31c | 651.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 32c | 625.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 65c | 583.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…6a51backed Yes | 35c | 572$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 19c | 531.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 33c | 477.36$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 34c | 449.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…b9a1backed Yes | 35c | 431.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 33c | 424.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…c2b8backed Yes | 14c | 396.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 34c | 394.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 33c | 352.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Yes | 32c | 305.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 33c | 303.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…4415backed Yes | 33c | 302.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Yes | 34c | 292.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ef…0cd8backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…2636backed Yes | 33c | 256.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.