TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-10-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes37c15,497$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,769.664337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yes38c13,311$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,268.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c8,121$4,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,912.6533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No58c8,070$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.2724557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No64c6,945$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No60c5,156$3,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.914746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed No39c5,155$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Yes40c4,451$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No61c3,140$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked No64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes35c2,896$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.673740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes51c2,829$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.31353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c2,707$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.963,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes36c2,660$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.462828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c2,505$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.362,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes71c2,083$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.214351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c1,990$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.7312247.5%58 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes40c1,915$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes36c1,560$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes37c1,524$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.774959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337b…0503backed Yes35c1,400$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes40c1,350$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81026022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes39c1,256$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.4120132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No65c1,233$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No62c1,197$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.917848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes80c1,000$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.168345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No61c948.53$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.1615151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No10c946.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.953564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No63c795.24$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes68c773.36$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes38c750$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4625253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes38c750$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No61c719.62$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.419652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes41c705.38$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.058129.6%24 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No37c685.89$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.768755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked No63c626.19$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3931127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes65c612.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked No64c574.78$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes36c571$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No60c515.78$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.474254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.828030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.135927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes36c499.62$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.767550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Yes38c456.13$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed No62c406.45$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes38c372.87$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes37c369.57$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.43850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No64c366.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.87757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No62c346.13$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.67051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No63c302$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.264165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1831442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffab…a290backed Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No62c288$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4824655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd48…b205backed Yes38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Yes39c241.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.03333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes43c232$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9341…0fa0backed Yes69c176.61$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.953100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No62c169.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.161872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes36c160$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.442844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No62c151.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No67c149.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No41c143.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes66c141.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3407…aab7backed No64c139.09$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes38c126.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.727533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93c…3c93backed No62c120.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No39c119.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-30.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked No64c117.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751450%7 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No62c112.9$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No62c109.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c36…7b5abacked No64c106.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+81.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes38c92.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.11650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584124.4%10 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8432…2fd5backed Yes37c85.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes37c83.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No46c76.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.771040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No62c72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3723757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes38c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.443259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No46c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9520042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed No63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed No64c62.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes40c61.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.912330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf06f…8752backed No65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No65c58.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes54c55.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed No65c53.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes37c53.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.