Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702dcbe5b0f73dae060f2ed0fde1ce7aa8c9c01a8068dcc7ad375d85364eca8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,074,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,867,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,074,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,028 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88aa…12c0backed No | 3c | 73,909$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked Yes | 27c | 50,309$13,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,696.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…f938backed Yes | 21c | 47,876$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,885.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…c623backed No | 5c | 46,449$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…fb54backed Yes | 26c | 42,841$10,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,894.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 49c | 38,168$18,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,732.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 53c | 37,184$19,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,595.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…63ffbacked No | 6c | 29,791$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed No | 1c | 27,200$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 53c | 25,676$13,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,647 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked No | 28c | 18,864$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf810…4feabacked Yes | 26c | 18,722$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,862.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…a8f7backed No | 22c | 18,227$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 57c | 17,500$10,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,013.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 78c | 17,072$13,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,240.07 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Yes | 52c | 16,810$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,152.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…46cfbacked No | 9c | 16,292$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe449…79dbbacked No | 46c | 15,496$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 17c | 15,420$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…fa69backed Yes | 52c | 15,047$7,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 34c | 14,264$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,386.27 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…f5ecbacked No | 73c | 12,207$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,889.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…d662backed No | 6c | 12,031$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed No | 47c | 12,023$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 48c | 11,039$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 18c | 11,000$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.86 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 10,710$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 10,694$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.62 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed No | 7c | 10,640$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 20c | 10,339$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,264.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d86fbacked Yes | 58c | 9,700$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 45c | 9,595$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.32 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…b06cbacked No | 12c | 9,464$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 48c | 9,400$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd899…05e5backed Yes | 22c | 9,346$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,255.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +347.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 73c | 8,930$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 39c | 8,642$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.55 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 3c | 8,125$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.82 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 8,096$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990.34 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…659dbacked No | 7c | 8,015$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 38c | 7,939$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.65 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 13c | 7,488$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 7,385$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.97 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 79c | 7,288$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 77c | 7,154$5,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed No | 3c | 7,027$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2592…839abacked No | 27c | 6,743$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 74c | 6,549$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b0…ab7ebacked No | 9c | 6,545$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 59c | 6,489$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.74 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6354…6e85backed Yes | 78c | 6,435$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 15c | 6,337$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.96 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed No | 3c | 6,160$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…8643backed No | 5c | 6,159$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…c589backed Yes | 78c | 6,105$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…8416backed No | 8c | 6,057$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 63c | 5,997$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked No | 64c | 5,947$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 5,817$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.81 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,782$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…84b7backed Yes | 52c | 5,716$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1c…0003backed Yes | 78c | 5,687$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 71c | 5,643$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.27 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 24c | 5,618$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbae2…05f2backed No | 20c | 5,390$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 5,365$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 5,292$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.91 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 60c | 5,273$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 3c | 5,200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 53c | 5,149$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.68 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…3222backed No | 53c | 5,050$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 5,048$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,893$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.72 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…26e5backed No | 78c | 4,821$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 53c | 4,819$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.15 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 3c | 4,780$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed Yes | 15c | 4,766$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +555%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 12c | 4,640$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed No | 75c | 4,574$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,424.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 55c | 4,574$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 40c | 4,537$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.34 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 25c | 4,528$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.48 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 3c | 4,444$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 4,397$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 59c | 4,262$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.93 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed No | 44c | 4,178$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 41c | 4,108$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.7 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…05e3backed No | 12c | 4,085$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 35c | 3,981$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 38c | 3,876$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.33 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,870$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.39 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…b88abacked Yes | 52c | 3,831$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed No | 8c | 3,788$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 52c | 3,704$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.06 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 44c | 3,675$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.89 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 52c | 3,675$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 3c | 3,670$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?this page
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.