Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4f302f1f924caa6ad99b50c737af4078a78742ab2943f6cfda942c7e444a01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 6c | 64,044$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.73 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 6c | 28,384$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.33 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 12,262$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.89 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 17c | 8,031$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.89 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 8,007$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…4a77backed Yes | 4c | 8,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.95 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead5…43edbacked Yes | 3c | 8,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,726$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 4c | 5,222$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 3c | 2,908$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,869$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 32c | 2,478$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 2c | 2,426$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 19c | 2,219$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 10c | 2,200$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 78c | 1,917$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 57c | 1,608$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,590$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,523$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Yes | 29c | 1,338$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…4a5bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…d81fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,308$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 44c | 1,210$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…4300backed Yes | 19c | 1,137$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 43c | 1,117$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,047$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…340bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 76c | 921.84$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 69c | 878.85$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 20c | 855.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed No | 60c | 839.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 60c | 825.9$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 2c | 808.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 803.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…cefdbacked Yes | 40c | 744.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…511fbacked Yes | 7c | 702.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 73c | 660$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…30d3backed Yes | 2c | 657.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…1307backed Yes | 43c | 637.71$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 631.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…52a2backed Yes | 3c | 609.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 74c | 604.19$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…3030backed Yes | 43c | 563.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 80c | 537.14$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…0fd1backed No | 76c | 533.79$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 31c | 515.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 20c | 511$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 507.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 5c | 456.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked No | 66c | 435.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…38b8backed Yes | 3c | 429.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 400.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 6c | 399.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…40f7backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…2138backed Yes | 16c | 383.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 18c | 351.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 23c | 318.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 67c | 317.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 8c | 316.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 11c | 309.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0d9dbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…6769backed Yes | 4c | 298.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 29c | 268.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 62c | 263$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…1f88backed Yes | 77c | 259.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687e…de8bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 16c | 248.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed No | 53c | 246.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…7d54backed No | 26c | 240$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 54c | 228.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…a437backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 42c | 227.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 76c | 219.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -89%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…6dc7backed Yes | 14c | 211.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 39c | 201$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…ab66backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…b20bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…f46abacked Yes | 25c | 188.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…1439backed Yes | 21c | 180.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked Yes | 17c | 175.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…be54backed Yes | 63c | 163.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4a…3ec6backed No | 62c | 161.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 30c | 157.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Yes | 38c | 155$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…27a2backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cf…7335backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 16c | 134.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?this page
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.