Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf31b1b93e8de461957079cff31b8ad60fcfdfb24b46b88f8dcdf0effd966da46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5962…49f0backed No | 0c | 87,008$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…c623backed No | 5c | 26,894$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…3119backed No | 1c | 12,497$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed No | 1c | 8,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…63ffbacked No | 3c | 7,692$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…2c12backed No | 8c | 6,188$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed No | 4c | 5,576$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed No | 2c | 4,658$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…1f91backed No | 5c | 4,335$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed No | 3c | 3,971$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 6c | 3,905$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 3,731$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,491$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…219cbacked No | 1c | 3,340$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…cf1abacked No | 4c | 2,898$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 2c | 2,608$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed No | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…c1b3backed No | 13c | 2,471$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237c…2efebacked No | 2c | 2,335$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfd…a048backed No | 5c | 2,299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…773fbacked No | 4c | 2,075$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked No | 6c | 2,024$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa855…091fbacked No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…8188backed No | 5c | 1,916$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…5692backed No | 6c | 1,686$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…25adbacked No | 62c | 1,630$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7362…2469backed No | 1c | 1,587$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…1009backed No | 3c | 1,507$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 3c | 1,433$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,431$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…e76bbacked No | 6c | 1,358$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked No | 2c | 1,300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked No | 2c | 1,263$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked No | 5c | 1,167$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…bebcbacked No | 2c | 1,147$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…cbf4backed No | 2c | 1,119$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…2fd6backed No | 5c | 1,012$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 2c | 1,002$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…cb91backed No | 17c | 1,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed No | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed No | 10c | 953.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…d3e7backed No | 4c | 898.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…6db3backed No | 8c | 858.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3e40backed No | 4c | 838.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…e7c6backed No | 10c | 836.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…0696backed No | 7c | 818.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked No | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked Yes | 6c | 781.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 13cpaid | +249.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597c…efa2backed No | 3c | 780.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 3c | 714.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 2c | 688.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…1997backed No | 3c | 670$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 666.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…1972backed No | 9c | 654.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…e6a1backed No | 2c | 652.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…c203backed No | 10c | 583.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked No | 3c | 571.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed No | 8c | 552.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 11c | 546.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked No | 3c | 541.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 4c | 522.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…c74cbacked No | 4c | 504.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…9eb4backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…a466backed No | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…89e5backed No | 3c | 491.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 4c | 480.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…42d6backed No | 11c | 474.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…c206backed No | 5c | 437.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…7ea8backed No | 3c | 410.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…7d31backed No | 8c | 410$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed No | 5c | 390.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…a55bbacked No | 5c | 383.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…f60bbacked No | 5c | 368.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…3b3ebacked No | 10c | 345$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…3794backed No | 3c | 324.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…fdaebacked No | 6c | 323.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…b092backed No | 8c | 317.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…956bbacked No | 6c | 300.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…93b9backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed No | 9c | 288.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…e499backed No | 5c | 285.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 18c | 273.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…0a3bbacked No | 5c | 272.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…967dbacked No | 9c | 263.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 250.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 9c | 240.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed No | 10c | 238.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…1c56backed No | 10c | 238.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…53a7backed No | 5c | 237.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…cd17backed No | 5c | 221.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 6c | 208.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…151cbacked No | 8c | 206.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…b3cfbacked No | 11c | 204.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…21e6backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…5c2fbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?this page
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 27?No won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.