TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Iowa vs. Rutgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowaof Iowa, Rutgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,574,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,760,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,574,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rutgers44c443,028$196,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196,981.4237749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Iowa56c265,996$148,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,033.823951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Iowa54c213,373$114,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,789.843164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Iowa55c181,766$99,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,794.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Iowa55c153,487$84,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,984.8834250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Rutgers46c130,576$60,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,064.765745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Iowa55c66,431$36,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,6867846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rutgers47c64,323$30,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,082.98149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Rutgers45c53,999$24,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,159.573842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rutgers45c52,720$23,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,546.7615539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rutgers46c51,914$23,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,887.281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Rutgers44c50,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.972138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rutgers45c35,619$16,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,143.1640549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Rutgers53c32,516$17,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,101.182948.3%14 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rutgers45c30,000$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,499.998948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa54c28,386$15,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,146.968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Rutgers47c22,918$10,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,730.1732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Rutgers45c20,000$9,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,006.261844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rutgers45c18,618$8,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,378.1130949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Iowa56c18,044$10,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,020.9115252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Rutgers48c12,063$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,761.0510046%46 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Rutgers45c10,134$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,544.519849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rutgers45c9,583$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.2826147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Iowa44c9,558$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,361.887929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Iowa45c8,931$4,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.172040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rutgers45c8,490$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.4423751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rutgers44c7,982$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.6762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Iowa55c7,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Iowa38c6,286$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.8326750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Iowa53c5,442$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,562.266838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Iowa55c5,361$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.431752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rutgers44c5,206$2,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.8152641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Rutgers52c5,000$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.0339954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Rutgers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.881668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Iowa53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Iowa55c3,909$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75329249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers46c3,612$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.3338450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Rutgers57c3,518$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9995565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Iowa55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.967143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbb…374abacked Iowa56c2,983$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.362133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rutgers45c2,600$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1706947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Iowa56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa41c2,414$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.7320039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rutgers50c2,321$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.3286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rutgers36c2,151$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.7985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Rutgers46c2,075$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.9410750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Rutgers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…668bbacked Rutgers47c1,923$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rutgers44c1,703$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.379750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rutgers46c1,681$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.263036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa45c1,508$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.6163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rutgers3c1,505$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4814.9%4 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Rutgers44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc913…e51cbacked Iowa55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Rutgers44c1,450$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6386835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Rutgers45c1,432$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65017946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa54c1,417$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rutgers72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rutgers50c1,326$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.515954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa48c1,275$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3555350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Iowa53c1,272$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.791850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2dc…5ac3backed Iowa56c1,223$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…b23bbacked Rutgers46c1,206$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.543928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdb3…2d43backed Iowa54c1,205$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Iowa47c1,056$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.514055%77 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Iowa55c1,016$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.4111142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Iowa55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Iowa55c953.45$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Rutgers45c941.78$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa55c929.97$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5949443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rutgers52c804.59$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.935844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rutgers45c800$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35711735.9%42 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Iowa45c779.31$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.312040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Rutgers46c729.21$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.913151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Iowa53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3292462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Iowa53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3296465.6%42 W · 22 L+14.8wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+58.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc546…78f5backed Iowa67c666$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+94.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa53c649.85$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5440541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rutgers45c605.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.711844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Iowa53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28216945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Iowa44c600$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7511844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c84…8b39backed Iowa58c586.95$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f3…4ba3backed Rutgers45c556.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rutgers2c555$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Rutgers44c555$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.26949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Iowa34c542.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6364841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Iowa56c535.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7613845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…9aefbacked Rutgers47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Iowa48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rutgers44c500.05$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.751,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Rutgers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Iowa54c500$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22812450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rutgers50c470.96$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.1917048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Rutgers59c467$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Rutgers56c449.12$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Rutgers45c422.22$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+56.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rutgers46c400$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Iowa55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf16…a240backed Iowa73c394.54$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.527440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Iowa51c387.33$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.87245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.