Earnings · resolved market
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aaf73677aeda3cda88c7337343177267011f1d6d08fbdc83174e5bee6a48edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $726,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $761,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 19c | 16,563$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,342.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 77c | 15,337$11,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,796.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 74c | 12,118$8,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.62 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…248ebacked No | 18c | 10,972$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed No | 24c | 10,366$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,915.87 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9260backed No | 26c | 9,102$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,691.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…463cbacked Yes | 73c | 9,004$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed No | 19c | 8,892$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,207.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 26c | 8,386$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,176.62 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 25c | 7,948$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…4841backed Yes | 79c | 7,619$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…dee3backed No | 24c | 7,049$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,371.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +320.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed No | 29c | 6,986$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…01aebacked No | 18c | 6,150$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Yes | 79c | 6,076$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 21c | 6,034$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.1 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 22c | 5,920$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.82 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…f259backed Yes | 76c | 5,755$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…7ccebacked Yes | 74c | 5,510$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 76c | 5,325$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed No | 27c | 4,991$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 21c | 4,872$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.59 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…a17cbacked No | 54c | 4,763$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 73c | 4,461$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da0…3c77backed No | 24c | 4,453$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3c…434fbacked No | 23c | 4,422$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +190.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…5ba0backed No | 14c | 4,197$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.16 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 73c | 4,186$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…6c1cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,109$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 23c | 4,050$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…1612backed Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87d…85f3backed No | 26c | 3,877$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,782$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,615$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 18c | 3,610$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.71 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…7c6dbacked No | 22c | 3,485$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…dadabacked Yes | 74c | 3,440$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked No | 17c | 3,319$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +505.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 36c | 3,173$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…fa0dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,139$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Yes | 79c | 3,136$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 75c | 3,065$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 68c | 3,000$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…bce0backed Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…f7f4backed No | 24c | 3,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…1d1ebacked No | 22c | 2,996$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +345.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 20c | 2,948$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.44 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked No | 24c | 2,851$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 78c | 2,756$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 26c | 2,753$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 21c | 2,726$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked No | 23c | 2,645$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 76c | 2,571$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 2,494$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.81 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…7a95backed No | 20c | 2,469$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +393.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,459$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…ad6cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,454$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…98c8backed Yes | 80c | 2,399$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…6e23backed No | 21c | 2,344$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +197.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…4173backed Yes | 43c | 2,306$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed No | 28c | 2,275$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 21c | 2,262$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +370.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 76c | 2,243$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 74c | 2,216$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 2,200$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.19 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 23c | 2,064$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…586fbacked No | 25c | 2,060$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 25c | 2,026$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3b3dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,023$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 75c | 2,019$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 22c | 2,005$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.03 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…0152backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.98 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 20c | 1,953$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…0b51backed No | 27c | 1,945$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…668bbacked No | 18c | 1,945$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed No | 21c | 1,929$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cb…3497backed Yes | 79c | 1,904$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632d…d8ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,885$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 31c | 1,877$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…b491backed Yes | 79c | 1,845$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 77c | 1,807$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 31c | 1,770$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 26c | 1,663$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 78c | 1,656$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 72c | 1,647$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed No | 20c | 1,560$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 36c | 1,519$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…10eabacked No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…4a76backed No | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…c8a0backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked No | 27c | 1,496$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 21c | 1,432$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…a68fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,414$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…fd62backed Yes | 77c | 1,403$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…0920backed No | 22c | 1,395$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +364.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.