Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Linda Noskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x428e3ef07e7871d8f54947f81bf61d2b3daa844cea81a9ac8f2a3f4d2b8e00c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Kalinskaya, Noskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kalinskaya | 0c | 16,405$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Noskova | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kalinskaya | 34c | 1,553$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…d9e6backed Kalinskaya | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kalinskaya | 14c | 1,075$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Kalinskaya | 38c | 636$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.67 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kalinskaya | 47c | 613$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kalinskaya | 40c | 525.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…4207backed Kalinskaya | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Noskova | 60c | 495$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Noskova | 59c | 405.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kalinskaya | 41c | 405.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kalinskaya | 40c | 280.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Noskova | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Kalinskaya | 39c | 170.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Noskova | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Kalinskaya | 42c | 144.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Noskova | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Noskova | 61c | 101.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…bdb3backed Kalinskaya | 43c | 100.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Kalinskaya | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Noskova | 57c | 86.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Noskova | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kalinskaya | 39c | 43.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…a478backed Noskova | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Noskova | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb133…0d9ebacked Noskova | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…e698backed Kalinskaya | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Kalinskaya | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Noskova | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Kalinskaya | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Noskova | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.