TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,770,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,075,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,770,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No22c264,154$57,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,897.748241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes79c243,390$191,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,327.629146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No16c198,268$32,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,307.091,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes78c120,540$94,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,129.167060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No19c96,314$18,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.27842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes78c80,726$62,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,163.092626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No22c72,958$15,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,980.264555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No20c68,740$13,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,738.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No19c56,394$10,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,933.1312536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No19c47,089$9,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,079.982025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No19c38,937$7,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,237.678231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No2c37,019$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No19c25,361$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.1214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No3c24,745$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.272832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Yes78c23,171$18,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No16c21,610$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.253619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No20c20,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9914953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9810040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No19c17,000$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…86bfbacked No22c13,597$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No21c12,091$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.138740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No20c10,171$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.172729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No21c10,120$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.193145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No20c10,000$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.981030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Yes80c9,999$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+135.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No20c9,913$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.568241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes80c9,395$7,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.082045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c8,858$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.31,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No13c8,277$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.0138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No21c7,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.987052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No20c5,720$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.981030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes76c5,562$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes79c5,185$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.782080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No22c4,737$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.238259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c4,500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No19c4,234$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.431637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+98.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes79c4,227$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No20c4,210$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.064235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84022054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No22c3,955$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8705444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No16c3,609$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.0617348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes80c3,549$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7814235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No19c3,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.239341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No20c3,480$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6961637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes78c3,306$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.3712956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes80c3,195$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.912036.7%44 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No21c3,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62010850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No19c2,971$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…1ec7backed Yes79c2,658$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes79c2,527$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.772860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No23c2,517$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5799043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes80c2,490$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No20c2,479$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ba…077abacked No20c2,200$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c2,111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.11877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No20c2,050$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41040222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc341…6298backed No20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No18c1,901$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.16653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No20c1,819$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.22137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes79c1,689$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7414955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243b…64f2backed No21c1,657$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…283bbacked Yes80c1,656$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa86b…79debacked No21c1,576$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x577c…e7d4backed Yes80c1,575$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes76c1,554$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes80c1,533$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.653464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes79c1,520$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.033545.7%16 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-33.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No21c1,505$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked No17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.982615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes78c1,470$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.322842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No19c1,430$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x166c…bf05backed No17c1,427$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No19c1,424$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.615034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No3c1,406$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.248258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes79c1,380$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.761163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Yes78c1,367$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.73825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x346b…860bbacked Yes79c1,330$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f3…2252backed No21c1,270$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes79c1,267$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.86850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes80c1,225$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0b…2b8ebacked No19c1,141$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No19c1,119$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.612218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No3c999.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No20c993.18$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6416853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No19c987.3$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes80c975.59$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.123357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Yes79c971.1$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.71553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No23c959.14$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8214044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No17c927.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.751747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes78c910.26$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.261752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes78c897.44$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.441877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Yes79c886.08$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.083063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No17c800.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0617426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.