Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82552f442b5817ac9d7d1fe82ad03ff013e3817ac32fbbf6f10c26a343b6e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe15e…3718backed Yes | 13c | 10,014$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 3,774$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 800.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 14c | 524.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 14c | 403.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…bd1dbacked Yes | 14c | 356.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 10c | 190.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…ad83backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.