NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7084e1e19c13560a158e90faddf9b621907c7abc569c3f34ae221801ae5d81aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,931,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,073,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Devils | 50c | 813,177$406,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406,736.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 474,046$237,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237,023.05 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Devils | 49c | 188,663$92,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,227.77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 150,084$79,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,256.81 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Devils | 35c | 114,285$39,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,286.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 62,086$31,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,411.16 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 49,858$25,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,424.53 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 38,821$19,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,519.53 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Devils | 48c | 28,098$13,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,741.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Devils | 48c | 27,378$13,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,360.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,749.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 21,942$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.79 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 15,951$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.29 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 15,281$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,424.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 14,922$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350.1 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 14,666$7,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.39 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 14,659$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,667.41 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Devils | 47c | 12,512$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Devils | 47c | 12,111$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,418.95 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 10,300$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Devils | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.4 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 8,000$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.43 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Devils | 50c | 7,496$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,968$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.29 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Devils | 49c | 5,929$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.86 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,000$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,710$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…3b36backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,360$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,142$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.08 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,099$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544b…897dbacked Devils | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Devils | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…7975backed Devils | 49c | 3,898$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Devils | 49c | 3,723$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.94 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…07a4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,673$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,547$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 3,425$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.44 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 3,417$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.71 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,282$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.92 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…2d67backed Devils | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…d51abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,050$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.04 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Devils | 48c | 2,974$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.3 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,858$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,733$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 2,733$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.43 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,600$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Devils | 47c | 2,510$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.1 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Devils | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…a31ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,500$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Devils | 48c | 2,246$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.92 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…be08backed Devils | 48c | 2,182$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…ba14backed Devils | 48c | 2,150$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Devils | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,070$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.44 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,052$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.91 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Devils | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9170…a3b7backed Devils | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Devils | 48c | 2,041$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.1 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…984ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,040$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,015$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.5 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Devils | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Devils | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,977$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,907$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.91 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,890$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Devils | 48c | 1,852$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,826$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Devils | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…3cc4backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,657$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…8ad2backed Devils | 49c | 1,656$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…2360backed Devils | 50c | 1,623$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,543$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.65 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…3f4ebacked Devils | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…fe34backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Devils | 48c | 1,463$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.59 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,404$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.07 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…5959backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,250$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…381ebacked Devils | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…a01fbacked Devils | 48c | 1,132$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…749fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,042$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…90d4backed Devils | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Devils vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.