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College Football · resolved market

South Alabama vs. Georgia State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Alabamaof South Alabama, Georgia State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$685,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$644,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed South Alabama68c294,393$200,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,205.8512549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Georgia State32c90,175$28,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,730.715539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Georgia State32c80,000$25,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,6005745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked South Alabama68c66,768$45,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,381.455064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Georgia State16c49,004$7,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,960.1627246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Georgia State32c42,524$13,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,608.895440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Georgia State31c39,652$12,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,331.5985947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed South Alabama70c35,500$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,500.0719362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Georgia State24c31,936$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,519.6530949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Georgia State32c25,200$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.0575651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Georgia State21c23,266$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Georgia State32c14,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed South Alabama67c13,815$9,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.0616635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Georgia State30c13,309$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.717048.2%82 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Georgia State58c12,486$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,241.7110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Georgia State19c10,076$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.5486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Georgia State32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2007126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Georgia State32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2006731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Georgia State15c9,887$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.5238546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Georgia State13c8,608$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.86030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Georgia State35c8,520$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,017.782748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State32c8,257$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,641.32,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea80…7296backed Georgia State12c6,853$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgia State10c6,851$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.5540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed South Alabama67c6,180$4,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.426147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Georgia State24c5,289$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.3327648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Georgia State7c5,220$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.46540%26 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Georgia State16c5,140$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia State32c4,300$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37638142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State17c3,986$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.4362843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Georgia State32c3,811$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.6249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgia State22c3,353$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.9564841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Georgia State30c2,555$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.2611844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Georgia State31c2,500$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.3849253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Georgia State29c2,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73516945.6%77 W · 92 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Georgia State29c2,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7355856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Georgia State29c2,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352450%12 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Georgia State29c2,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7356465.6%42 W · 22 L+14.8wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+58.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Georgia State33c2,250$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.3334529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Georgia State31c2,100$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Georgia State6c1,996$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3663243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Georgia State15c1,651$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.572615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Georgia State20c1,616$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Georgia State32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1611540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Georgia State30c1,500$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45617954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7272…dab3backed South Alabama69c1,368$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84f…005fbacked Georgia State32c1,305$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Georgia State20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Georgia State32c1,244$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.191,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama75c1,232$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4155350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Georgia State30c1,050$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31814355.2%79 W · 64 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed South Alabama67c1,005$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.6510753.3%57 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Georgia State32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Georgia State32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Georgia State30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Georgia State32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia State32c864$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…e6d4backed Georgia State25c794.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Georgia State32c781$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Georgia State30c750$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Georgia State30c750$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed Georgia State30c750$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda82…5da2backed Georgia State22c700$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.45251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State14c686.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Georgia State32c675.53$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Georgia State32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia State33c599.97$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9942244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Georgia State2c550$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Georgia State16c519.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.916023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed South Alabama67c483$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Georgia State3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked South Alabama67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0f…a394backed Georgia State15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dff…b486backed Georgia State33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Georgia State33c399.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9911436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Georgia State32c393.75$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264052.5%21 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Georgia State32c388.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Georgia State32c349.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4717634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Georgia State30c326.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed South Alabama76c312.75$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9710555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5046…2909backed Georgia State33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Georgia State34c301.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2539847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a3…801cbacked Georgia State31c276.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Georgia State8c275.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Georgia State31c273.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9122030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Georgia State32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Georgia State32c225$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210246.1%47 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Georgia State33c222$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked South Alabama44c221.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.16233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Georgia State32c200.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.037332.9%24 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed South Alabama67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed South Alabama68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia State32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.256844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Georgia State32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4847331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed South Alabama67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed South Alabama67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.513253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked South Alabama67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2518868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed South Alabama67c148.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.167867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked South Alabama67c133$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed South Alabama67c118.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.745662.5%35 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.