College Football · resolved market
South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34f88b563842be2f5df9c43097233a157bf98f8e242d7d3e3e260c5e918901f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 36,000$18,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,680.54 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 52c | 18,418$9,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,537.27 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Under | 49c | 13,527$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 48c | 5,895$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.6 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 4,888$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 50c | 2,698$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.97 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 49c | 2,137$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,087$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 48c | 953$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.44 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 614.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 365.63$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 50c | 211$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Under | 51c | 117.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8984…8af8backed Under | 49c | 60.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 53c | 32.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…2639backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 54.5this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia StateSouth Alabama won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 53.5Over won
- South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 56.5Over won
- Spread: South Alabama (-5.5)South Alabama won
- Spread: South Alabama (-6.5)South Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.