Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6697c6f61a08a83fd75088561481a2c6a05ad05079b96c3e71d0ff4fe2ff177f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 18c | 21,166$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,355.76 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 15c | 15,817$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,491.27 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 3,639$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.14 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 30c | 3,173$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.1 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 76c | 2,635$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 2,050$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.64 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 15c | 1,920$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.96 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 16c | 1,828$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.04 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 15c | 1,352$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.73 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 1,106$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 20c | 1,052$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 15c | 496.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 13c | 411.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.19 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 34c | 388.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked No | 15c | 329.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…03c9backed Yes | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 75c | 266.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 65c | 201$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…68fcbacked Yes | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 21c | 187.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…3390backed Yes | 74c | 152.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6879backed Yes | 34c | 140.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 33c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 53c | 113.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 101.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c1a6backed Yes | 60c | 99.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…d4fdbacked Yes | 28c | 71.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Yes | 80c | 66.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 76c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…7c06backed Yes | 75c | 40.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…fcaebacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702d…e74fbacked Yes | 76c | 35.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…8793backed Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…b807backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.