Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdf0155cbd6d59d298ec0ce3b6d6f70c1a0e542f935e457f8c08075627dc925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 71c | 41,847$29,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,221.55 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 30c | 29,408$8,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,822.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 30c | 21,386$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468.77 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 28c | 21,236$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 72c | 19,482$13,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.3 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 29c | 17,172$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.41 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 28c | 15,070$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220.26 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 29c | 14,063$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.26 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 11,138$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.96 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.96 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 29c | 9,999$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.76 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 28c | 8,550$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 75c | 8,444$6,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.95 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 8,069$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 7,381$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.42 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 29c | 7,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 72c | 6,874$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 72c | 5,994$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.02 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…e060backed Yes | 72c | 5,542$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 21c | 5,472$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.38 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 20c | 4,849$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.86 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 29c | 4,799$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.61 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 70c | 4,314$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.24 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…0434backed Yes | 71c | 4,258$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 29c | 3,600$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 62c | 3,584$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 9c | 3,508$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 1c | 3,480$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 9c | 3,400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked Yes | 69c | 3,025$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 30c | 2,930$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.98 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 26c | 2,851$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.69 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 29c | 2,846$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…abe7backed No | 33c | 2,703$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 71c | 2,553$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 11c | 2,537$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 32c | 2,493$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 72c | 2,431$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.56 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 68c | 1,863$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.52 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,797$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.58 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 29c | 1,745$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.04 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 30c | 1,646$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 31c | 1,594$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Yes | 66c | 1,563$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…22b6backed Yes | 71c | 1,558$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…1902backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…42dcbacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Yes | 69c | 1,446$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…915abacked No | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 11c | 1,368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…e133backed Yes | 74c | 1,355$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…fbaabacked Yes | 71c | 1,264$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 30c | 1,099$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 30c | 1,067$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 29c | 999.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.94 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed No | 30c | 832.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 31c | 800.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.24 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…bee0backed Yes | 71c | 797.41$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 66c | 768.63$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Yes | 72c | 760$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 68c | 736$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 70c | 715$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 70c | 710.11$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Yes | 71c | 708.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b7…4717backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 28c | 695$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 71c | 624.46$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 30c | 621.27$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 66c | 610.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 31c | 605.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 603.07$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 31c | 601.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 69c | 579.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Yes | 62c | 547.68$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 61c | 538.55$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0da7backed Yes | 70c | 523.24$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…e909backed Yes | 68c | 516.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 513.83$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.