Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c95745679413c53267d4969e85d2a666238f25d8238e4c5efbc0c5127776cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked Yes | 11c | 38,573$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 10c | 19,928$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.77 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 11c | 7,115$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.27 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 11c | 4,264$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 12c | 3,518$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 15c | 1,508$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 9c | 1,331$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 6c | 1,083$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,009$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 11c | 999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 15c | 866.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 9c | 730.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 511.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…8213backed Yes | 12c | 495.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Yes | 11c | 474.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 473.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 12c | 448.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…03c9backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 6c | 348.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Yes | 11c | 315.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…aba5backed Yes | 8c | 306.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 5c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 259.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 254.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 12c | 249.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 12c | 245$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…0733backed Yes | 10c | 241.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 7c | 232.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 12c | 219$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…f314backed Yes | 12c | 202.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…58d5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…301cbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 119.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Yes | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…48edbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 13c | 107.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…ba64backed Yes | 11c | 102.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ea…c44dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…5d43backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…0c53backed Yes | 11c | 92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f69bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.