TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,307,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,379,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,307,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 701 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder63c139,401$87,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,802.8185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pacers35c71,838$25,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,217.7447144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pacers47c52,134$24,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,519.3119249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Pacers45c46,274$20,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,797.6647448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers27c41,803$11,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,286.791,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff6…a199backed Pacers28c40,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Thunder59c34,922$20,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,400.4981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Thunder72c30,881$22,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,662.518843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Pacers26c30,360$7,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,893.6710530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Thunder72c27,500$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,75020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Thunder50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5005646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Thunder72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9817658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Thunder60c24,200$14,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,694.265942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Thunder59c21,538$12,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,785.991,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a91…1968backed Pacers28c18,189$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Thunder60c16,677$10,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,673.0927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Pacers36c16,347$5,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,881.355246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Pacers26c15,849$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers26c15,543$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.0974748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers53c14,169$7,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,489.6670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Pacers28c14,058$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,928.4936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Thunder74c11,549$8,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.8525847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Pacers51c11,432$5,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,832.8441848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pacers26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Pacers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9912334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Pacers27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.997748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers40c9,527$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Thunder72c9,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.993663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca5a…7e43backed Thunder60c8,485$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.722941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers36c8,124$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.011,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers27c8,078$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.2546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder76c8,064$6,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,935.485959.3%35 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Thunder49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0807939.2%31 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pacers27c7,563$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.2316446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Thunder53c7,502$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.947447.3%35 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers36c7,338$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.41,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Thunder72c7,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9605556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Pacers26c6,485$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.8612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Thunder73c6,172$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.3571052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Thunder73c5,500$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers44c5,167$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.481,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder72c5,081$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Thunder51c5,024$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.585664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Thunder62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa447…cc98backed Thunder58c4,949$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Pacers69c4,075$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.064757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3f…0a9bbacked Thunder67c4,060$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.798454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pacers44c3,882$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.3644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdc…f4e4backed Thunder71c3,657$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Pacers27c3,595$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.3620434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers2c3,369$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Thunder73c3,313$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.5218452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers34c3,268$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…3801backed Thunder47c3,246$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.671942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Thunder62c3,216$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820c…4841backed Thunder74c3,092$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers34c3,074$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Thunder74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Thunder73c3,000$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Thunder56c2,940$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.313042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pacers55c2,735$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d2…86fdbacked Pacers25c2,715$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.811258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Pacers38c2,707$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.315038%19 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x263b…cac0backed Thunder74c2,697$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.31464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed Thunder40c2,588$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.256428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc550…353fbacked Pacers30c2,573$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.826636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers26c2,550$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57de…cd90backed Pacers71c2,500$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder72c2,476$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.312,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Pacers21c2,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50418142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pacers45c2,359$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.6259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…7d07backed Pacers27c2,300$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c6…4722backed Pacers28c2,263$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.64633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x690d…dee3backed Pacers27c2,225$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Thunder73c2,150$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57125143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf7…836abacked Pacers23c2,146$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.172748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers8c2,132$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.231,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Thunder72c2,065$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.273348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Pacers2c2,045$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911344.2%50 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Thunder42c2,031$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.065250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…afcebacked Pacers27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pacers26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pacers26c1,956$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6733945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Thunder73c1,849$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3219748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Pacers23c1,835$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.5611440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Pacers25c1,806$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.715547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf0…5ac2backed Pacers27c1,796$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Pacers26c1,689$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0412143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Thunder73c1,644$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.8416555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa746…d20dbacked Thunder73c1,616$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.32850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pacers25c1,600$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers34c1,515$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.151,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204d…1d52backed Thunder73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Thunder73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Pacers27c1,333$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36017162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ef…83c4backed Pacers30c1,325$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Pacers46c1,314$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.