NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32a53349633acaec63df50795e67dccb786c4ce41a5288c3911e9fcdc0cb09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Canucks, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,005 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canucks | 50c | 120,068$60,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,014.81 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Penguins | 51c | 93,000$47,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,570 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Canucks | 49c | 57,003$27,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,931.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Penguins | 53c | 24,548$13,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,514.61 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Penguins | 50c | 22,451$11,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,228.47 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canucks | 49c | 20,867$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,255.95 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Penguins | 49c | 18,111$8,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,176.61 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 50c | 18,080$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,009.2 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canucks | 47c | 13,845$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.1 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Penguins | 49c | 11,773$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…0f66backed Canucks | 50c | 11,197$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ec…663ebacked Penguins | 52c | 10,500$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 47c | 10,103$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Penguins | 50c | 10,084$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.2 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 49c | 10,020$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.99 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Penguins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Penguins | 50c | 9,921$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960.5 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 49c | 9,804$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.11 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Canucks | 50c | 9,314$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks | 49c | 8,995$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.48 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…1546backed Penguins | 50c | 8,900$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canucks | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canucks | 49c | 8,352$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.15 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…50aebacked Canucks | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Penguins | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Penguins | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Canucks | 49c | 7,405$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 51c | 7,134$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.72 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…af50backed Canucks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canucks | 51c | 6,649$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.12 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…d5fabacked Penguins | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Canucks | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Penguins | 51c | 5,012$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Penguins | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Canucks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Penguins | 50c | 4,416$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.75 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Canucks | 0c | 4,037$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…7c91backed Penguins | 50c | 3,900$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Penguins | 50c | 3,701$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.43 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…74e8backed Canucks | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…5142backed Penguins | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Penguins | 48c | 3,380$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.9 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 51c | 3,001$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.17 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks | 27c | 2,902$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Canucks | 50c | 2,851$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.5 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…12acbacked Canucks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canucks | 53c | 2,329$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.09 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Penguins | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Canucks | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canucks | 16c | 2,276$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.09 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canucks | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.03 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Canucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Canucks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Canucks | 49c | 1,710$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins | 49c | 1,693$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.01 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Penguins | 51c | 1,651$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…b735backed Canucks | 50c | 1,651$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Penguins | 49c | 1,580$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.25 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Penguins | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canucks | 49c | 1,500$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 49c | 1,419$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.6 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 54c | 1,359$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.1 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Canucks | 53c | 1,302$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…e44abacked Penguins | 51c | 1,244$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…1b12backed Penguins | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Canucks | 27c | 1,120$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…57c1backed Penguins | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…1269backed Penguins | 51c | 1,072$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Canucks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Canucks | 50c | 999.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Canucks | 51c | 900$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Canucks | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…d7e1backed Canucks | 50c | 825$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…25bcbacked Canucks | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Penguins | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 50c | 720.47$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.66 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Penguins | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Canucks | 51c | 699.92$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…5f64backed Penguins | 51c | 668.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…78bdbacked Canucks | 50c | 668.62$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Penguins | 46c | 625.3$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Canucks | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 60c | 598.06$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Penguins | 45c | 595$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.83 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Penguins | 50c | 544$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…60afbacked Canucks | 50c | 540.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Canucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Canucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Penguins | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Penguins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…b19bbacked Penguins | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Canucks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Penguinsthis page
- Canucks vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canucks (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.