Middle East · resolved market
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0deb0787bc71b7dbac2188ac28061c6184f5b93d16a1b386ddbc1e4f17407dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd4cd…a809backed No | 3c | 14,287$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb5…9452backed No | 4c | 12,899$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked No | 12c | 12,645$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…461cbacked No | 9c | 12,158$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…17acbacked No | 10c | 11,589$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…5f52backed No | 4c | 8,556$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…17fcbacked No | 3c | 8,261$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…c403backed No | 6c | 7,911$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…027cbacked No | 4c | 6,994$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…5c71backed No | 17c | 6,953$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…2779backed No | 4c | 6,474$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 22c | 6,258$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.06 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd2…b8efbacked No | 1c | 5,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 4,750$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…162abacked No | 6c | 4,575$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6c…2281backed No | 12c | 4,510$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked No | 4c | 4,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…e3e4backed No | 45c | 4,353$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…63eebacked No | 9c | 4,093$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 57c | 3,300$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.39 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 3,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 2c | 3,190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae44…ce37backed No | 70c | 3,038$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…b75abacked No | 24c | 2,903$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed Yes | 74c | 2,686$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…00c8backed No | 2c | 2,680$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…723ebacked No | 1c | 2,678$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…a852backed No | 6c | 2,663$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…5f88backed No | 5c | 2,633$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 78c | 2,524$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.76 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…03c6backed No | 11c | 2,506$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…1545backed No | 1c | 2,338$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…768cbacked No | 2c | 2,326$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…5534backed No | 4c | 2,196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked Yes | 18c | 2,146$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…fa95backed No | 2c | 2,090$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…fe12backed No | 63c | 2,053$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 2,045$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.47 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…d206backed No | 5c | 1,859$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…7b31backed No | 10c | 1,714$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…4a2cbacked No | 1c | 1,599$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…1606backed Yes | 13c | 1,575$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…81febacked Yes | 26c | 1,571$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.75 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…a0c7backed No | 3c | 1,465$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…60bcbacked No | 5c | 1,429$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 15c | 1,400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.98 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 63c | 1,373$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.55 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…1865backed Yes | 14c | 1,363$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +610.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,355$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 46c | 1,329$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.19 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…f0c3backed No | 24c | 1,309$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…8fdcbacked No | 2c | 1,297$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c9…6c07backed No | 48c | 1,289$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,174$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 2c | 1,062$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 31c | 1,059$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.17 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe101…c17bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,050$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e797backed Yes | 57c | 1,035$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32db…55edbacked No | 5c | 1,023$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…0435backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…2c4dbacked No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked No | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 30c | 999.78$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.06 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…5969backed No | 67c | 961.65$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 18c | 960.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.58 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5813…b464backed No | 79c | 907.88$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 75c | 899.98$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Yes | 11c | 895.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 62c | 877.23$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7642…0778backed Yes | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed No | 2c | 873.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 69c | 869.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…b432backed No | 2c | 866.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…260abacked No | 4c | 838.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 34c | 817.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.08 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…8a23backed No | 3c | 776.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…2500backed No | 31c | 734.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 6c | 715.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 4c | 708.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…0966backed No | 71c | 708.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 29c | 702.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…a781backed No | 4c | 700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +13.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 9c | 693.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…6df6backed Yes | 74c | 670$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…d964backed No | 4c | 658.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…b85fbacked No | 10c | 652.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…75a4backed No | 30c | 652.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 77c | 650$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…2f80backed No | 35c | 642.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…4f66backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…d6fabacked No | 4c | 610$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbe…b813backed No | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…cd6bbacked No | 3c | 599$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…c95cbacked No | 4c | 574.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 35c | 572.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 19c | 565.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.85 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.