TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25b6…260a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$58.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: NOVEX vs VARREL YOUTH - Game 2 Winnerbacked NOVEX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.6
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.72
LoL: Andromeda Gaming vs Divernex (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked Andromeda Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+102%+$15.3
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$18.75
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
LoL: DMG Esports vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
LoL: Lausanne-Sport Esports vs Galions Sharks (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group Ebacked Galions Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.49
LoL: Lupus Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.33
LoL: ALMO Players vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Seasonbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.42
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.22
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.12
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.8%+$68.9
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$55.02
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.