TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,171 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over51c190,296$96,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,718.3810450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over51c156,972$80,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,055.863557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under49c114,741$56,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,517.7710948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c82,597$42,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,612.874,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under48c78,887$37,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,021.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under49c65,344$31,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,504.5590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c37,391$19,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,221.1150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under49c20,761$10,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,588.115950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,63024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c11,243$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.2430446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over52c8,590$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.9113046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5705757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c6,255$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.252,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under49c6,219$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c5,200$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.88334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c5,116$2,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.791,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over20c4,599$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.83438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c4,082$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.355149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c3,269$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.521957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under49c3,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over45c2,543$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.372941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2506546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c2,062$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.523943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.993148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c1,887$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.314647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c1,826$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.6432545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under72c1,755$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4877653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over15c1,719$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9611839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c1,572$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4612152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.7920159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,282$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under60c1,045$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4182770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over53c1,026$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.783540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Under58c907.37$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.347864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over51c903$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over54c840$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.63151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over32c757.3$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7110629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over28c705.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under48c687.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.59564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under49c612.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.336222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30629053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under49c572.22$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.111450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c536.35$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.751,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c512.42$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c474.91$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under53c460.74$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.234040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over25c414.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c412$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0810450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under49c391.92$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.568155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under52c386.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.074062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over52c384.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.619352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c360$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.614950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c340.79$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9120245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15319750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15331751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c279.48$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over35c261.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c249.9$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c249.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.671,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over46c246$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.163053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c240$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under48c233.72$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under49c218$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5812554.4%68 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under49c218$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5811254.5%61 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under49c218$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5813453%71 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under49c218$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5812654%68 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over22c215$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.955520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.282937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6319…770abacked Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084e…71d6backed Over52c192.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under65c178.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.393050%15 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over34c177.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8118842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac4…140abacked Under50c172$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under74c171.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.712755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under53c171.42$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c167.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Over54c162.87$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.