La Liga · resolved market
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6b2d04d0ee9b9a770ec9326ab11ba2493b198263002aac594dc450be23bd3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 2,462$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.42 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 1,989$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.75 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 4c | 1,913$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 460.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 70c | 384$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Over | 32c | 234.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 168.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 29c | 125.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…1411backed Over | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 71c | 44.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed Under | 73c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…7f64backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 71c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Levante UD vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.