Lol · resolved market
LoL: Andromeda Gaming vs Divernex (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb5b0f36f91f2adf4db7fbe2de038d36735ec7a98be599765ff9fc00c19bf718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andromeda Gamingof Andromeda Gaming, Divernex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Divernex | 40c | 2,220$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.89 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Andromeda Gaming | 51c | 1,648$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.09 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Divernex | 3c | 805.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Divernex | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Divernex | 15c | 494.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Andromeda Gaming | 47c | 427$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andromeda Gaming | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Divernex | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Divernex | 53c | 259.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Divernex | 56c | 256.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Andromeda Gaming | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Divernex | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Divernex | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Andromeda Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Divernex | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…b87dbacked Divernex | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Divernex | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Divernex | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Divernex | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…260abacked Andromeda Gaming | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Andromeda Gaming | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.