Lol · resolved market
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c33267829d92c3b9c539ae9a836c5bed3349f32455f76e1f0f076957a57903a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,538$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 6c | 1,443$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 14c | 1,219$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 18c | 1,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 71c | 999.53$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 411 | 46.5%191 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 77c | 844.99$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 79c | 702.44$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 680.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Yes | 20c | 671.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…260abacked Yes | 30c | 586.87$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…9c4dbacked Yes | 29c | 458.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 448.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Yes | 10c | 387.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 28c | 359.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 290.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Yes | 15c | 287$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 27c | 284.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 9c | 278.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…643abacked Yes | 11c | 208.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 190.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…5b24backed Yes | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 158.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Yes | 20c | 101.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…de05backed No | 71c | 100.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…c4e3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 95.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…6432backed Yes | 32c | 91.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…1699backed Yes | 29c | 74.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…d0c9backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…78bfbacked Yes | 17c | 58.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 28c | 46.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 36.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…9570backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?Yes won
- Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.