Lol · resolved market
LoL: DMG Esports vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6482b74ce29e18581017f8364b840a8d5723d7cbb5c6c2363b36f0c556fd25d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof DMG Esports, Lundqvist Lightside
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Lundqvist Lightside | 30c | 2,405$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.62 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…7a6cbacked DMG Esports | 70c | 1,911$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DMG Esports | 62c | 580.82$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed DMG Esports | 70c | 492.86$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Lundqvist Lightside | 33c | 433.33$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed DMG Esports | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Lundqvist Lightside | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 276 | 55.8%154 W · 122 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked DMG Esports | 73c | 136.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked DMG Esports | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lundqvist Lightside | 27c | 109.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Lundqvist Lightside | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Lundqvist Lightside | 31c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed DMG Esports | 69c | 48.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked DMG Esports | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b1…9ec0backed DMG Esports | 78c | 30.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked DMG Esports | 71c | 30.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…260abacked DMG Esports | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed DMG Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked DMG Esports | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.