TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,105,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,105,413 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked JD Gaming35c151,300$52,231 inLost-$52,231.1955955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming64c118,911$76,688 inWon+$42,222.41,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming45c51,443$22,916 inLost-$22,915.542,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Bilibili Gaming68c40,083$27,290 inWon+$12,792.9881143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed JD Gaming40c39,986$15,889 inLost-$15,888.6864155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming64c39,866$25,378 inWon+$14,488.2867276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked Bilibili Gaming63c32,731$20,766 inWon+$11,964.4220354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bilibili Gaming61c21,590$13,166 inWon+$8,424.3625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed JD Gaming40c20,482$8,240 inLost-$8,239.761,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked JD Gaming39c18,619$7,343 inLost-$7,342.7190348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3a…4a05backed Bilibili Gaming73c15,275$11,201 inWon+$4,074.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Bilibili Gaming61c14,864$9,065 inWon+$5,798.8911645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Bilibili Gaming62c12,420$7,757 inWon+$4,662.6817949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Bilibili Gaming57c11,696$6,665 inWon+$5,031.114056.4%79 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming59c10,270$6,008 inWon+$4,261.4476639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked JD Gaming37c10,151$3,754 inLost-$3,754.2131328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed JD Gaming37c9,817$3,632 inLost-$3,632.2921137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked JD Gaming35c9,613$3,366 inLost-$3,366.261,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked JD Gaming43c8,341$3,560 inLost-$3,560.0325751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Bilibili Gaming68c8,046$5,473 inWon+$2,573.4328361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed JD Gaming32c8,000$2,600 inLost-$2,599.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Bilibili Gaming59c7,650$4,530 inWon+$3,120.1714757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked JD Gaming43c7,404$3,199 inLost-$3,198.5666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Bilibili Gaming60c7,000$4,230 inWon+$2,77044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed JD Gaming37c6,908$2,551 inLost-$2,55111140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Bilibili Gaming55c6,200$3,404 inWon+$2,795.941,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed JD Gaming35c6,019$2,077 inLost-$2,077.213,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed JD Gaming41c6,000$2,460 inLost-$2,46016454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed JD Gaming36c6,000$2,160 inLost-$2,159.981,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed JD Gaming36c5,775$2,072 inLost-$2,072.4717933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bilibili Gaming60c5,732$3,431 inWon+$2,301.281,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Bilibili Gaming63c5,498$3,462 inWon+$2,035.6243151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed JD Gaming38c5,400$2,038 inLost-$2,037.9818945.5%86 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed JD Gaming37c5,308$1,961 inLost-$1,960.591,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Bilibili Gaming65c4,886$3,176 inWon+$1,709.971546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Bilibili Gaming64c4,389$2,818 inWon+$1,571.0248440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed JD Gaming34c4,332$1,478 inLost-$1,478.071,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Bilibili Gaming29c4,243$1,209 inWon+$3,033.2618451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae0…d6c7backed Bilibili Gaming63c4,159$2,615 inWon+$1,543.19862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming65c4,110$2,677 inWon+$1,432.981,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed JD Gaming40c4,000$1,600 inLost-$1,6001,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed JD Gaming40c4,000$1,580 inLost-$1,5801,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed JD Gaming39c3,848$1,501 inLost-$1,500.61,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming64c3,834$2,453 inWon+$1,380.0870162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed JD Gaming37c3,810$1,410 inLost-$1,409.723439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Bilibili Gaming74c3,600$2,646 inWon+$953.8610352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Bilibili Gaming59c3,565$2,121 inWon+$1,444.449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming56c3,347$1,858 inWon+$1,489.2675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Bilibili Gaming58c3,032$1,772 inWon+$1,260.3616654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Bilibili Gaming51c2,955$1,504 inWon+$1,451.310748.6%52 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x042b…bbf1backed Bilibili Gaming65c2,765$1,795 inWon+$969.912055%66 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Bilibili Gaming63c2,700$1,706 inWon+$9942,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming63c2,582$1,626 inWon+$955.212,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Bilibili Gaming64c2,440$1,562 inWon+$878.41,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed JD Gaming16c2,438$387 inLost-$386.858332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Bilibili Gaming63c2,427$1,529 inWon+$897.8519648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Bilibili Gaming61c2,396$1,463 inWon+$933.131,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked JD Gaming42c2,383$1,000 inLost-$1,00059558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf87c…da0cbacked JD Gaming47c2,374$1,108 inLost-$1,107.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Bilibili Gaming62c2,258$1,400 inWon+$858.0612035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bilibili Gaming66c2,210$1,465 inWon+$744.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Bilibili Gaming61c2,139$1,305 inWon+$834.3414835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Bilibili Gaming38c2,121$800 inWon+$1,320.8812844.5%57 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb80…ab99backed Bilibili Gaming62c2,100$1,296 inWon+$804.44872.9%35 W · 13 L+7.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Bilibili Gaming67c2,000$1,340 inWon+$66097427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Bilibili Gaming32c2,000$640 inWon+$1,36077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Bilibili Gaming60c2,000$1,200 inWon+$80066843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bilibili Gaming58c1,938$1,119 inWon+$819.1946637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Bilibili Gaming54c1,863$998 inWon+$864.641428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Bilibili Gaming64c1,818$1,158 inWon+$660.3426246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked JD Gaming50c1,687$837 inLost-$836.8753640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Bilibili Gaming62c1,662$1,036 inWon+$626.4210450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked JD Gaming38c1,659$635 inLost-$634.611,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed JD Gaming36c1,645$600 inLost-$60021746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Bilibili Gaming80c1,641$1,312 inWon+$328.3427248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3b…2969backed Bilibili Gaming63c1,628$1,020 inWon+$608.031266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a27…9edbbacked Bilibili Gaming62c1,624$1,000 inWon+$624.24850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming65c1,577$1,027 inWon+$549.392,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaef0…4806backed Bilibili Gaming64c1,567$1,000 inWon+$566.822774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Bilibili Gaming64c1,514$969 inWon+$54520537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Bilibili Gaming67c1,500$1,004 inWon+$496.525269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83af…4084backed JD Gaming37c1,500$550 inLost-$55028350.5%143 W · 140 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed JD Gaming44c1,418$619 inLost-$619.241,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…9783backed JD Gaming21c1,416$300 inLost-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaef…4775backed Bilibili Gaming62c1,362$844 inWon+$517.749148.4%44 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Bilibili Gaming64c1,342$855 inWon+$487.2626645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Bilibili Gaming64c1,300$833 inWon+$46733845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Bilibili Gaming62c1,290$800 inWon+$490.3224041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Bilibili Gaming47c1,275$600 inWon+$675.1535457.9%205 W · 149 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Bilibili Gaming55c1,262$698 inWon+$564.0734244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa422…d0f9backed Bilibili Gaming68c1,215$824 inWon+$391.356462.5%40 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Bilibili Gaming61c1,213$740 inWon+$473.0714060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked JD Gaming2c1,200$24 inLost-$246297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming35c1,193$419 inLost-$419.011,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed JD Gaming55c1,148$633 inLost-$633.1539851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed JD Gaming31c1,118$347 inLost-$347.4130139.5%119 W · 182 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed JD Gaming35c1,114$390 inLost-$39077545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Bilibili Gaming64c1,102$707 inWon+$394.4723754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0093…be88backed JD Gaming67c1,081$720 inLost-$720.4517454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Bilibili Gaming66c1,080$718 inWon+$361.671,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.