TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under27c15,842$4,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,346.581,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Under40c11,416$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under44c6,270$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.3419648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Over73c5,523$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.315166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Over72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12021154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under27c3,680$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.7227447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under29c3,231$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.373,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Over73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8103754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under34c2,700$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.072,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over68c2,453$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.228166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under26c2,242$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9644047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb4…5548backed Over73c2,044$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.495100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over71c2,000$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.4176953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d51…3ac1backed Over73c1,924$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over70c1,465$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.8539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c1,425$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.591,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Over72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.997061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under28c1,393$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39021943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Over69c1,332$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.375653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Over72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1110949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under28c1,050$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over70c1,048$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6126940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over68c1,036$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.393,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Over71c1,000$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29317542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under31c925.31$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.750848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over67c882.49$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.152,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e82…17c7backed Over73c750$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Over73c686.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over68c634$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2543947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over67c623$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4530545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under28c594.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.473943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x712c…717bbacked Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.562231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over67c539$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.511141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over57c538.88$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.8836752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over68c529$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7837345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over71c518.31$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3114835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over67c514$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9645344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over67c514$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7310844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe499…d5c2backed Over64c470.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over72c437.5$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52564%16 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Over71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5410051%51 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over65c406.14$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1510943.1%47 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over54c385.93$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5235223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over72c371.01$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Under39c364.48$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c10…1a8bbacked Under42c358.15$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2547064.3%302 W · 168 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Over61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12916941.4%70 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over67c307.92$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.951,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11724649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c9…a644backed Over73c299.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…adbcbacked Over70c299.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Under27c296.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over71c283.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.124041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70d…36b7backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2723752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over59c252.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2619251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f1…7e14backed Over42c249.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.944443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over62c249.25$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1312937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945b…d197backed Under31c245$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under25c241.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.951,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ce…3e30backed Over69c233$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over72c224.69$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9115155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31f…fda9backed Over69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3330255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59c…0268backed Under31c208$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Over74c203.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6316264.2%104 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0721759%128 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa716…495ebacked Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5821456.5%121 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over69c191.73$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4418244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over66c187.06$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.636467.3%245 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over55c187$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1537039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Over70c156.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.045950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked Over65c156.06$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2311859.3%70 W · 48 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over64c155.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6230246%139 W · 163 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Over72c148.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.614156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba74…e022backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910263.7%65 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8919244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a6…e6c0backed Under28c137$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c6…90bfbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145961%36 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under29c130.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.647935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9aa…619cbacked Over44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6751…0d8abacked Under32c122.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe64c…c944backed Under29c122$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…7f63backed Over71c121$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed Over72c120.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8324845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over69c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over62c116$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.145442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b86…30f8backed Under27c116$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.386864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…3202backed Over73c105.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c5…d255backed Under37c104.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.291650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.