Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56eef6085453706f349b2f4c82e0942ec63af74db9b686f4197a667944658db4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,268 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4521…aeb7backed Bilibili Gaming | 27c | 10,112$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming | 72c | 6,383$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.1 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked JD Gaming | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed JD Gaming | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed JD Gaming | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 2,022$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.42 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…f96ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 1,460$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 986.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf352…9708backed JD Gaming | 63c | 948.99$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…28edbacked JD Gaming | 40c | 700$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming | 52c | 667.88$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming | 73c | 615.28$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 584.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…8e3bbacked JD Gaming | 72c | 540.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked JD Gaming | 73c | 483.82$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 472.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 451.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed JD Gaming | 74c | 378.38$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 376$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.81 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…5fecbacked JD Gaming | 75c | 306.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed JD Gaming | 72c | 256.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 252.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 220$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 201.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed JD Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Bilibili Gaming | 28c | 178.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed JD Gaming | 73c | 173.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked JD Gaming | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked JD Gaming | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 132.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 121.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed JD Gaming | 60c | 119.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 112 | 67.9%76 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…d255backed JD Gaming | 62c | 104.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed JD Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JD Gaming | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed JD Gaming | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 48.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 46.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…9a3abacked JD Gaming | 74c | 44.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed JD Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked JD Gaming | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…0416backed JD Gaming | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…cd81backed JD Gaming | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 35.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…02efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…97aebacked JD Gaming | 58c | 27.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 197 | 40.1%79 W · 118 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked JD Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked JD Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed JD Gaming | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked JD Gaming | 72c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed JD Gaming | 64c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked JD Gaming | 75c | 19.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed JD Gaming | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.