TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Team Secret Whales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$892,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,005,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $892,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 794 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Team Secret Whales46c28,052$12,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,828.071,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed LYON57c20,921$11,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,051.121,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Team Secret Whales48c17,096$8,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,287.8239964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Team Secret Whales42c15,900$6,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70816356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Secret Whales44c15,860$6,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,917.7553750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed LYON54c15,656$8,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,278.2432650.3%164 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked LYON50c15,307$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,706.7412446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Team Secret Whales1c15,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Team Secret Whales46c14,612$6,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.1610547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed LYON55c12,019$6,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,387.331,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON63c11,379$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.741,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed LYON53c10,564$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.5651146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Secret Whales47c10,463$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,917.787042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed LYON59c10,121$6,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.1527957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Team Secret Whales48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80022355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked LYON54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60049541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LYON52c9,678$5,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.411,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Team Secret Whales46c9,611$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40021556.7%122 W · 93 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Team Secret Whales46c9,172$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.5334536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales40c8,844$3,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.711,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed LYON54c8,844$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,091.7867276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Secret Whales47c8,127$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.2187443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Team Secret Whales6c7,950$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49971157%405 W · 306 L+40.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed LYON61c7,714$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.631,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed LYON53c7,500$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5001,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed LYON57c7,467$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.8838735.9%139 W · 248 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed LYON54c7,466$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.7810055%55 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LYON55c7,234$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.1689746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret Whales30c7,203$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.770641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked LYON56c7,000$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.9954555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Secret Whales48c6,303$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.441,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked Team Secret Whales47c6,125$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.099833.7%33 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6100…ed95backed Team Secret Whales45c6,087$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.848259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked LYON52c6,050$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.972,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Team Secret Whales45c5,660$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.5813240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Team Secret Whales47c5,236$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.9740851.7%211 W · 197 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed LYON53c5,206$2,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.0830845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Team Secret Whales5c5,099$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4942455%233 W · 191 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked Team Secret Whales49c5,000$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.233655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555f…83a0backed Team Secret Whales48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret Whales46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed LYON56c4,772$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.8317133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Team Secret Whales45c4,647$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.319241.3%38 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed LYON59c4,570$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.1946450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Secret Whales40c4,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed LYON56c4,463$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.3369539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Secret Whales48c4,422$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.5686136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…5f53backed Team Secret Whales49c4,075$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+53.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a6…7a0abacked LYON53c4,070$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed LYON74c4,000$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.214360.8%87 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LYON52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON55c3,896$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.52,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed LYON53c3,871$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.7559854.2%324 W · 274 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Secret Whales47c3,840$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.794344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Secret Whales47c3,809$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.221,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed LYON54c3,801$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.9446451.7%240 W · 224 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Team Secret Whales45c3,724$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.213450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Team Secret Whales50c3,711$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.945547.7%217 W · 238 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed LYON58c3,552$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.688045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed LYON58c3,335$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.728341%116 W · 167 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Secret Whales60c3,330$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030854.5%168 W · 140 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f16…801abacked Team Secret Whales52c3,285$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6923961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed LYON66c3,215$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1951748.2%249 W · 268 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed Team Secret Whales39c3,050$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.4912943.4%56 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed LYON52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb398…4a9fbacked LYON53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Team Secret Whales34c2,974$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.168933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked LYON55c2,900$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.9832955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Team Secret Whales48c2,750$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32058457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b1…861bbacked LYON68c2,750$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88034448.8%168 W · 176 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Team Secret Whales43c2,750$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.4932939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked LYON58c2,747$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.3138662.2%240 W · 146 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Secret Whales47c2,689$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.7576639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked LYON59c2,640$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.4216141.6%67 W · 94 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c37…248ebacked Team Secret Whales34c2,571$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Secret Whales42c2,528$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.223,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked LYON58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05021765.4%142 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Secret Whales43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07530044%132 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Team Secret Whales48c2,468$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.261,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Team Secret Whales45c2,440$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LYON57c2,393$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.111,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked LYON60c2,316$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.0397744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Team Secret Whales43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9892544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Secret Whales43c2,293$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.852,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked LYON53c2,260$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.2199756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Team Secret Whales6c2,150$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0510740.2%43 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Team Secret Whales48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Team Secret Whales48c2,078$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed LYON76c2,061$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.6538154.3%207 W · 174 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Secret Whales48c2,054$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.0829843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd2…4cb9backed Team Secret Whales1c2,022$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22280%0 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed LYON58c2,000$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84539851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LYON57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Secret Whales1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed LYON41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9948834%166 W · 322 L+25.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Secret Whales45c1,996$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90022148%106 W · 115 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Team Secret Whales43c1,945$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.219253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed LYON57c1,929$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0322360.1%134 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked LYON57c1,919$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.1235341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed LYON57c1,905$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.651,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.