Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd046c3f472132fb3027f1d9db04f758cf1d3647f90900a628a956b657262129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Team Secret Whales, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Team Secret Whales | 24c | 10,521$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.73 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked LYON | 76c | 4,300$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked LYON | 76c | 2,656$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked LYON | 76c | 1,230$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Team Secret Whales | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed LYON | 76c | 778.95$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked LYON | 76c | 778.5$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked LYON | 79c | 697.55$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Team Secret Whales | 26c | 684.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Team Secret Whales | 23c | 613.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Team Secret Whales | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed LYON | 80c | 590$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Team Secret Whales | 20c | 580$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LYON | 74c | 507.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed LYON | 76c | 460.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed LYON | 78c | 384.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LYON | 75c | 305.5$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked LYON | 76c | 304.53$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0074backed Team Secret Whales | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Team Secret Whales | 21c | 194.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…7427backed LYON | 76c | 120.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed LYON | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Team Secret Whales | 21c | 97.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked LYON | 77c | 93.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Team Secret Whales | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Team Secret Whales | 23c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked LYON | 78c | 78.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed LYON | 77c | 64.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LYON | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…cccdbacked LYON | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed LYON | 77c | 38.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LYON | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LYON | 79c | 29.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked LYON | 76c | 25.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c2…b4ecbacked LYON | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed LYON | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
- First Blood in Game 3?Team Secret Whales won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.