Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97017901319a6abf4d5f94d96f25d235455033a9ef8527088faf9a15c25a594

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,961 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under	53c	15,214$8,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,100.7	1,535	54.9%843 W · 692 L	+40.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	53c	6,795$3,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,211.29	1,217	43.5%529 W · 688 L	-15.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over	47c	6,533$3,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,070.42	1,341	38.4%515 W · 826 L	-70.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under	53c	5,619$2,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,653.09	1,507	50.4%760 W · 747 L	+72.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Over	46c	5,569$2,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,561.72	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under	52c	5,054$2,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,425.82	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over	49c	4,079$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.07	338	38.2%129 W · 209 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Over	48c	3,202$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.02	129	53.5%69 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.76	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	52c	2,600$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252	911	51%465 W · 446 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Over	46c	2,524$1,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.19	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over	46c	2,163$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.87	248	36.7%91 W · 157 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Over	46c	1,961$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.96	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	102	61.8%63 W · 39 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	49c	1,899$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.24	2,574	39.7%1,021 W · 1,553 L	-81.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over	46c	1,835$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.95	75	36%27 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Over	48c	1,261$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.28	237	32.5%77 W · 160 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under	54c	1,228$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564	2,191	53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L	+63.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	48c	1,199$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.47	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	215	40%86 W · 129 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over	48c	763.79$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.14	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over	51c	720.39$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.17	421	49.2%207 W · 214 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over	48c	705.82$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.48	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over	50c	675.5$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over	45c	623$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.35	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Over	46c	528.26$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Over	46c	523.91$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Over	46c	521.74$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	160	35%56 W · 104 L	-9.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over	47c	516.38$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.7	342	50.6%173 W · 169 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over	49c	498.59$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.31	549	29.5%162 W · 387 L	-36.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1207…9795backed Over	48c	485$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over	46c	477.67$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.73	429	35.2%151 W · 278 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	54c	455.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.67	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaeb…c2d0backed Over	46c	397.83$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-5.5wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6af…f9cdbacked Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over	46c	358.7$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	291	35.4%103 W · 188 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	341$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.68	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	102	31.4%32 W · 70 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over	47c	279$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.13	330	39.7%131 W · 199 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Under	54c	203.11$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.48	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under	46c	202.28$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.23	599	48.2%289 W · 310 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	577	49.4%285 W · 292 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45e3…c45cbacked Over	47c	190.31$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under	53c	188.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.26	85	47.1%40 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	230	57.8%133 W · 97 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under	52c	182.87$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.21	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Under	49c	177.52$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.54	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under	45c	133.71$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.54	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	+12.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7584…d6e6backed Over	47c	132.67$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Over	47c	128.04$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Over	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	180	57.2%103 W · 77 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb214…0396backed Under	47c	122$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.66	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	50c	120$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over	50c	114$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over	54c	103.3$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.78	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-10.0wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	631	49.9%315 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over	51c	99.29$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.64	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under	49c	81.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	537	53.6%288 W · 249 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over	46c	80.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	651	46.4%302 W · 349 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	49c	75$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.89	1,368	48.8%667 W · 701 L	-29.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Under	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Over	46c	58.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	348	40.2%140 W · 208 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Under	54c	53.93$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	224	62.1%139 W · 85 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over	46c	47.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under	55c	42.74$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	411	56.7%233 W · 178 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8255…4261backed Under	50c	42.51$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.26	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	622	46.5%289 W · 333 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over	51c	38.47$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	255	51.4%131 W · 124 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	47c	37.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	67	71.6%48 W · 19 L	+5.7wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Over	55c	36.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-4.1wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over	67c	35.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	194	63.4%123 W · 71 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	54c	34.67$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under	40c	32.87$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.82	974	49.9%486 W · 488 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Over	46c	32.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under	44c	31.63$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.71	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under	54c	30.15$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	369	52.3%193 W · 176 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc30…197abacked Under	54c	25.09$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.54	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Under	63c	23.69$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	105	73.3%77 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	69cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Over	47c	23.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a5…6a2abacked Under	54c	20.37$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.37	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
First Blood in Game 1?LYON won
First Blood in Game 2?LYON won
First Blood in Game 3?Team Secret Whales won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)LYON won
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)LYON won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event