TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under53c14,562$7,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,913.811,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.971,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over47c9,312$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.431,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c4,900$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.21,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over49c4,146$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.5433838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under51c3,788$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.941,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c3,737$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.622,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under51c3,169$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.489050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.779253.3%49 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.779862.2%61 W · 37 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under55c1,828$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.012,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Over46c1,820$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.215143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over48c1,586$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8435442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005825.9%15 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over46c1,386$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8316933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over47c1,371$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3611943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over48c1,361$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.421428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Over47c1,268$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5965639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over47c984.55$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.7429338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Over46c856.52$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under52c847.68$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8220143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over53c814.34$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0210547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over48c814.26$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38810046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over49c679.59$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Over50c674$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33721440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Over47c653.09$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0614735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Over46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over47c646.5$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0342149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518f…cf91backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Over47c542.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8424535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over47c522.38$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5212642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over47c516.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.734250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Over49c508.16$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24922644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over50c506.08$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0454529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24531849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over46c491.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22659248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over49c468.57$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.64734%16 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over49c462.8$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2294348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Over46c447.83$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20619752.8%104 W · 93 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…3657backed Over49c428.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed Over46c302.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1397741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over47c298.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2943839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over47c285.11$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Over47c271.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.536939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Over47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Over47c260.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.393125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over47c246.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4410231.4%32 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c245$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0510546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe49…de5cbacked Over46c243.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Over47c223.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under49c222.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3823946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over52c220.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.886338.1%24 W · 39 L-10.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e3…c45cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9829643.6%129 W · 167 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3156949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Under52c190.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3815536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012536%45 W · 80 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023057.8%133 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under55c160.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6320551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.224832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.557351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7512743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.234756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c140.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.522,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Over80c137.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11037754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Over67c136.25$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9124656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb214…0396backed Over47c121.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over46c120.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3842735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.436952.3%193 W · 176 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under51c116.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5110657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over49c110.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8923047%108 W · 122 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf6…52bfbacked Over46c108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554247.6%20 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4662649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4615660.9%95 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over52c95.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.745257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under47c91.9$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.357938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over48c91.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.073,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under51c89.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.858750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under37c78.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.316346%75 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d2e…826dbacked Under51c62.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.431662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.47856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Under54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.611949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under55c57.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9441156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…362bbacked Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ea…fa08backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe91c…0cf9backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.579345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe01f…ff34backed Over66c48.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210964.2%70 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.