Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd398847d34f2a461b176233463f4e8bba89bd3af147f1010c6aefa48577e1c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 3,732$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.41 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 3,318$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.78 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 2,250$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.49 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Fluxo W7M | 29c | 1,389$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.82 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 16c | 1,331$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.05 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fluxo W7M | 14c | 1,302$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 978.36$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fluxo W7M | 21c | 957.13$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 895.18$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M | 20c | 812.69$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.52 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Fluxo W7M | 3c | 578.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fluxo W7M | 17c | 561.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fluxo W7M | 9c | 519.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked FURIA Esports | 76c | 456.34$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 357.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Fluxo W7M | 28c | 325$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked Fluxo W7M | 5c | 301.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 260$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Fluxo W7M | 18c | 245.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 211$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed Fluxo W7M | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 186.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 178.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 170.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Fluxo W7M | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 143.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 106.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 94.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 88.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 81.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 78.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 75.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…260abacked FURIA Esports | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FURIA Esports | 69c | 58.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Fluxo W7M | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked FURIA Esports | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 37.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 31.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…8b4cbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 30.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…be22backed FURIA Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…d493backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked FURIA Esports | 80c | 17.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4e38backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 17.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports | 73c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?FURIA Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.