TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbaab…8b4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$11.05
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.5%+$8.22
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+111.4%+$12.72
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.23
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.02
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+41.4%+$20.87
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+39.7%+$15.13
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.6%+$8.74
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+36.8%+$5.36
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.17
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.36
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.48
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$18.39
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.26
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.72
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.89
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$10.72
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.61
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+127.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. North Dakota State Bisonbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+298.8%+$57.82
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-17.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.34
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+59.8%+$18.54
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+59.7%+$31.64
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.23
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$41.41
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$63.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+400%+$49.68
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.55
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Paris Basketball vs. Monacobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+199.9%+$131.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+112.2%+$17.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+43.5%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.