Movies · resolved market
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1849a3e7d7e73055812d8b05059baf05cf7c0c964d7b045c8f994a0111dddf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 44c | 8,184$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked Yes | 4c | 4,700$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 4,382$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.75 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 77c | 4,305$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.76 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 50c | 4,069$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.95 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 52c | 3,815$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 27c | 2,748$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.45 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 57c | 2,714$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.48 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 40c | 2,503$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 51c | 2,389$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.81 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 11c | 2,180$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 56c | 2,018$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked No | 41c | 1,821$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 76c | 1,329$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 60c | 1,278$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 53c | 1,205$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 55c | 1,104$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.46 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…3568backed Yes | 53c | 1,100$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 1,036$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.98 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 51c | 974.17$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 79c | 969.6$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 39c | 965.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 21c | 947$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +381%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…1d1ebacked Yes | 56c | 908.89$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 58c | 850$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bc…3d81backed No | 44c | 825$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked Yes | 75c | 810$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 61c | 704.56$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 32c | 696$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…5c89backed Yes | 55c | 684.2$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 56c | 680.84$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 68c | 646$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed No | 40c | 622.8$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 45c | 589.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.46 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 79c | 554.27$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 34c | 552.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 48c | 537.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.33 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Yes | 58c | 484.48$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 43c | 482.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…40e6backed Yes | 55c | 481.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 23c | 449.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…771abacked Yes | 72c | 417.94$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 50c | 401.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed No | 53c | 382.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 53c | 375.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…b92bbacked Yes | 58c | 370.69$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…313bbacked Yes | 76c | 350$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 31c | 341$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…51e8backed Yes | 54c | 332.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 59c | 320$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.23 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 35c | 316$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 55c | 306.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 57c | 300.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed No | 72c | 296.12$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 35c | 288.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 21c | 258.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 60c | 250.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…a309backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…8e5ebacked Yes | 35c | 246.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 240.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 65c | 233$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 43c | 219.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 50c | 201.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 41c | 189.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 40c | 167.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 50c | 165.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 31c | 156$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 45c | 152.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 50c | 150.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Yes | 56c | 142.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 38c | 137$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…c807backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…694abacked Yes | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…7301backed Yes | 47c | 107.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 41c | 106.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 46c | 100.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…00b4backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Frankenstein win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
- Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.