Movies · resolved market
Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c991fcf3e4c1645d84d1339aed59367054c6028a9a865461717bcf217a08d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked No | 5c | 6,500$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed No | 71c | 3,873$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.13 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Yes | 25c | 2,435$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.46 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…1d1ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,359$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 69c | 1,875$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.68 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 17c | 1,811$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.97 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,752$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.86 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 1c | 1,428$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 1,227$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.03 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 68c | 1,175$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 39c | 1,139$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…3568backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 74c | 1,032$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.36 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…0d68backed No | 74c | 1,023$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 66c | 1,001$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.44 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 30c | 995.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 32c | 868$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 32c | 792$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 33c | 735$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 25c | 680.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 677.12$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.63 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 32c | 598$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 593.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.95 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 68c | 584.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.71 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 32c | 534$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…c03abacked Yes | 16c | 532$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 67c | 517$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 32c | 516$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 32c | 511$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 68c | 511$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…1a94backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 60c | 492.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 68c | 477$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 68c | 460$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 11c | 414.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.33 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 32c | 414$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 68c | 378$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 356.37$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.36 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 29c | 350.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 29c | 333.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 32c | 309$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 68c | 309$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 68c | 308$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…382ebacked Yes | 43c | 278.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 68c | 276$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked No | 74c | 271.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked Yes | 32c | 255$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…28c3backed Yes | 27c | 250.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c4…a309backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…fefbbacked Yes | 31c | 243.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 68c | 240$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 68c | 226$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 72c | 220$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 73c | 218.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 20c | 205.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.81 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 68c | 188$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 73c | 181.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 176.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 32c | 173.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 67c | 169$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 26c | 165.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 30c | 164.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 164.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 43c | 161.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…98a7backed Yes | 29c | 156.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 14c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 34c | 140.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…3c0abacked Yes | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 75c | 133.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed Yes | 32c | 133$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…d7d9backed Yes | 41c | 132.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 50c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 75c | 128.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 71c | 124.72$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 75c | 123$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 72c | 120.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 36c | 114.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 111.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 110.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked No | 71c | 108.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 99.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Yes | 39c | 92.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 90.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 44c | 84.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 58c | 82.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamnet win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Frankenstein win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.