TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Bucks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,899,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,989,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,899,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 756 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Bucks31c228,188$69,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,924.6121057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks29c182,126$53,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,474.3651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Bucks31c160,000$49,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,599.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs71c80,000$56,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs71c72,057$51,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,877.052,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs68c58,437$39,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,527.871,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Bucks31c52,443$16,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,506.3820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs69c52,305$36,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,075.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Spurs69c50,112$34,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,534.6620551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Spurs69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,499.9912147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Spurs69c47,228$32,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,640.7524650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282c…0313backed Spurs71c46,767$33,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,479.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spurs68c45,350$30,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,511.9929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Bucks31c45,012$13,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,953.7223245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks32c42,058$13,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,458.4914358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Bucks4c41,680$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.748030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Bucks29c39,685$11,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,402.5935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Spurs68c39,190$26,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,540.759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Spurs69c35,000$24,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,777.9519751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Spurs70c35,000$24,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,368.61,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Bucks6c32,384$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.337537.3%28 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac7…e0efbacked Spurs68c30,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Spurs69c28,985$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,985.489857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks34c26,262$8,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,926.014,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Bucks38c24,245$9,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,213.084261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs69c22,666$15,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Bucks30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b254backed Bucks1c19,965$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.741612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs70c18,973$13,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,751.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks0c18,150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.35213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks0c17,962$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.018820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks27c17,331$4,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.411,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed Bucks1c16,981$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9310119.8%20 W · 81 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Spurs68c16,544$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.098961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Bucks32c15,328$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,904.8428439.8%113 W · 171 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Bucks31c15,000$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,588.7214244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Spurs69c14,639$10,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,604.8827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Bucks30c14,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs70c13,639$9,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.711,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs69c12,450$8,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs62c12,097$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,596.7722458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks27c11,123$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.0947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Bucks18c10,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.0119653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Spurs70c9,875$6,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.6312454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs74c9,342$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs71c9,052$6,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.073,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Bucks37c8,914$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.2721143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks31c8,065$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs70c7,500$5,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.2186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs70c7,268$5,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Spurs73c7,001$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.2713148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bucks27c7,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89014945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9b…6611backed Bucks29c6,902$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs73c6,878$5,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.12,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks22c6,748$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Spurs71c6,143$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.9425546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9c…74b3backed Spurs69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8602653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks28c5,505$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.41,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Bucks9c5,307$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Spurs70c5,100$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53023747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Bucks31c5,095$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.4515841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Spurs62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs64c4,839$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.332,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Bucks2c4,610$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6424725.9%64 W · 183 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spurs69c4,607$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.0772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Spurs71c4,605$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.6848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs69c4,464$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.7747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Spurs70c4,454$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.23959%23 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed Spurs71c4,401$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.414961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Bucks31c4,200$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30218151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6973…6db6backed Bucks30c4,172$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.592638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Spurs72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6717162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Bucks27c4,114$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.8661336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Bucks34c4,021$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37030157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Spurs72c4,000$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14020453.9%110 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Spurs70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Spurs69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Spurs73c3,918$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.8416863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs69c3,700$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.312,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Spurs70c3,632$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.7626751.7%138 W · 129 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Spurs69c3,588$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.417850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spurs69c3,506$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.8617653.4%94 W · 82 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs69c3,500$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Spurs68c3,377$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.2830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Spurs71c3,350$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.474862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc4…628dbacked Bucks30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs70c3,330$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Spurs72c3,244$2,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.4425452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bucks32c3,200$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02447535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Spurs69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9304868.8%33 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe804…5d6cbacked Bucks1c2,950$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Bucks27c2,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.516344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Spurs67c2,584$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.0310255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Spurs71c2,557$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.6738148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked Spurs64c2,500$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.673458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks31c2,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Spurs70c2,491$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.9227758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.