TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs48c68,359$32,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,567.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Bucks52c64,348$33,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,456.5360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Bucks52c41,768$21,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,651.4720744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs48c11,818$5,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs48c10,088$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,286.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs48c6,787$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Spurs49c6,702$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.0247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Spurs48c5,556$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.294862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks52c5,489$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.2559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9877348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs48c4,240$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea5e…48afbacked Bucks50c4,033$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Bucks51c3,837$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.581,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…0da9backed Bucks50c3,559$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Bucks53c3,519$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.0724051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs48c3,459$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,798.581,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbba…f469backed Spurs50c3,113$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…3d34backed Bucks28c2,761$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.517537.3%28 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea61…de67backed Spurs50c2,747$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs50c2,650$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Bucks49c2,434$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.78030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs50c2,222$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd56d…bd7dbacked Spurs49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.828647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fc…2262backed Spurs50c2,011$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bucks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Bucks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks54c1,976$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6895…9366backed Bucks50c1,790$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks53c1,786$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.581,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…f3c8backed Bucks50c1,699$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3781…95a5backed Spurs50c1,682$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e36…69f5backed Bucks50c1,674$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…3ebabacked Spurs50c1,666$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0b…04cfbacked Spurs50c1,665$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…7800backed Bucks50c1,654$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…739ebacked Bucks50c1,635$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79f5…10d4backed Bucks50c1,631$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…7166backed Spurs50c1,613$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6873…a17ebacked Spurs50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…4bf7backed Bucks50c1,596$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda52…ff26backed Bucks50c1,567$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e6…b13fbacked Spurs50c1,544$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x312e…c47dbacked Spurs50c1,542$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…d769backed Bucks50c1,536$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…7cbabacked Spurs50c1,536$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010f…b12abacked Bucks50c1,521$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617f…2143backed Spurs50c1,479$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bucks52c1,447$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05cc…7a4dbacked Bucks50c1,342$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs76c1,328$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bf…1e64backed Spurs50c1,315$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c7c…a593backed Spurs50c1,286$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceaa…b5f3backed Spurs50c1,274$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab47…80cfbacked Spurs50c1,273$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1344…28eebacked Spurs50c1,263$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…9f3cbacked Spurs50c1,254$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1087…e6a6backed Spurs50c1,235$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs48c1,196$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs49c1,167$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.392,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs51c1,147$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.032,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe643…f806backed Spurs50c1,121$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…1c39backed Bucks50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fa…9440backed Bucks50c1,066$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c9…16e0backed Bucks50c1,063$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…f7c0backed Bucks50c1,057$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b95…0036backed Bucks50c1,056$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cad…e94cbacked Bucks50c1,046$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3418…fdd6backed Bucks50c1,046$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9672…856fbacked Bucks50c1,036$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…5082backed Bucks50c1,035$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.550%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3e6…b7c2backed Bucks50c1,028$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fd…da4bbacked Bucks50c1,011$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs48c1,005$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…7e0ebacked Spurs50c1,003$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…7727backed Spurs50c1,003$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeee…bc77backed Spurs50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Bucks50c992.16$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7d13backed Bucks50c981$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Spurs49c893.1$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf61a…0b67backed Spurs50c822$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fb…fb9dbacked Bucks50c811$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b32…164abacked Spurs50c803$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bucks51c800.01$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.712,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a41…9a7dbacked Bucks50c789$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf061…8064backed Spurs50c781.8$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Bucks52c774.86$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0314647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs62c741.84$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…397fbacked Spurs50c722$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Spurs50c719.33$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0523845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks51c715$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks53c650$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Spurs49c623.02$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.748961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb31…f923backed Spurs50c606$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Bucks52c578.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6be2…a92fbacked Bucks50c522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Spurs50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Spurs49c451.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.